NCAAB

3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Thursday 3/14/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Thursday 3/14/24

College basketball season is in full swing, and via the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, we can get into the action by checking out prop bets for key games.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. We can also turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and dive into our wealth of statistical data to find today's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Prop Bets

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyes, 6:30 p.m. ET

Jamison Battle Over 14.5 Points (-110)

Moving on from coach Chris Holtmann has done wonders for Ohio State. Since the move on February 14th, the Buckeyes are 5-1, including a win over Purdue. Thursday features a key battle between Ohio State and Iowa, who are both playing for plenty of stakes as NCAA Tournament bubble teams.

Targeting one of the Buckeyes' top scorers could yield success, for the Hawkeyes rank 149th in adjusted defensive efficiency. The unit's shooting efficiency has taken a leap since interim coach Jake Diebler took over at 47.5% compared to their season average of 45.0%.

Iowa's forwards look especially susceptible on defense as Patrick McCaffery (0.20) and Ben Krikke (0.26) have poor marks in EvanMiya's Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating (DBPR). This also checks out with Bart Torvik's defense box score plus/minus (DBPM); McCaffery is -0.9 while Krikke is -0.4.

One of OSU's top scorers roams in the frontcourt. Jamison Battle (14.4 PPG) ranks second on the team in scoring and has provided some monster performances over his past five outings. This includes a 24.0 PPG three-game stretch from February 18th to February 29th.

The Hawkeyes are in the bottom 32% in three-point makes allowed per game and in opponent three-point percentage. Once again, this plays right into Battle's hands, for he leads the Scarlet and Gray in three-point shots and has converted 16 of his last 33 attempts from beyond the arc (48.5%).

I love the over for Battle's points prop.

Colorado State Rams vs. Nevada Wolf Pack, 9 p.m. ET

Isaiah Stevens To Make 3+ Threes (+198)

The Mountain West Tournament is ramping up its play tonight with the second round taking place. Colorado State and Nevada are two teams from the Mountain West who are expected to earn NCAA Tournament bids.

The Wolf Pack rank 31st in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency, which is the third-best mark in the conference. Considering Nevada's exceptional rating and extremely slow pace (top 32% for slowest tempos), the Rams could get limited field goal attempts. Colorado State also sits among the top 25% for the slowest paces in college basketball.

One weakness should be circled for the Wolf Pack, though. They rank in the bottom 30% in three-point shots allowed per game. While the Rams attempt only 21.7 threes each contest (bottom 47%), Colorado State still has lethal sharpshooters from deep.

Isaiah Stevens, who leads the team with 16.7 points per game (PPG), touts an elite 45.8% three-point percentage paired with a team-high 131 three-point attempts. The senior guard has only improved his shooting percentage over the last 12 games, cashing in 49.1% of his three-point attempts during the span. Stevens has also made multiple three-pointers in 10 of the last 12 contests.

For two made threes, Stevens is -146, but this is a little too long for my liking. At +198, three made three-pointers provides a much more enticing bet. I'm backing that bet considering Stevens' recent production.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Baylor Bears, 9:30 p.m. ET

RayJ Dennis To Record 8+ Assists (+168)

Cincinnati has a massive opportunity against Baylor as they can pretty much punch their ticket into the NCAA Tournament with a win. This will be no cakewalk, though, as the Bears can be one of the most difficult teams to defend in the nation with the fifth-best adjusted offensive efficiency.

Baylor can essentially get it done in any which way. They shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (86th percentile) and 39.8% on three-pointers (99th percentile). Pick your poison when guarding the Bears. The Bearcats could simply lack the tools to slow this unit.

Cincy managed to hold Baylor to only 62 points in the previous head-to-head matchups. Despite making only 5 of 20 three-pointers (25.0%), the Bears still shot a solid 45.8% from the field. Baylor's leading assist man RayJ Dennis feasted with nine dimes in the matchup.

Dennis ranks second in the Big 12 with a 37.2% assist percentage and has reached eight assists in six of the last eight games. One could argue that the Bearcats' defense could fail to hold up tonight, unlike the previous meeting.

FanDuel's college basketball odds are in line with this thought as the Bears' total is set at 73.5. Cincinnati held Kansas to 3 of 20 from three (15.0%) on Wednesday, but the Jayhawks were without their top two scorers and are in the bottom 32% in three-point percentage. The Bearcats' final four opponents of the regular season shot a combined 42.9% from three.

Baylor could be poised for success from three in this matchup, and defending the rim remains a concern for Cincy (bottom 31% in two-point shots allowed per game). The bottom line: the Bears could fill it up tonight.

This bodes well for Dennis' assist total. The senior floor general has orchestrated one of the nation's top scoring units, and I expect that to continue tonight with plenty of good scoring opportunities present.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.