Malta vs Italy Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UEFA Euro 2024 Qualifier (Italians Find the Back of the Net Early)

Malta vs Italy prediction, odds and betting insights for UEFA Euro 2024 Qualifier.
Malta vs Italy prediction, odds and betting insights for UEFA Euro 2024 Qualifier. / AP Photos/Alessandra Tarantino

Malta vs Italy Match Info

UEFA 2024 European Championship Qualifying Match
Malta vs. Italy
Date: Sunday, March 26, 2023
Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
Venue: Ta' Qali National Stadium — Attard, Malta

Qualifying matches for the 2024 European Championship continue on Sunday with a great matchup between Malta and Italy. Malta was last seen in action in a 2-1 qualifying match loss against North Macedonia on Thursday, while Italy couldn't get the job done in a disappointing 2-1 loss to England.

Malta vs Italy Odds & Spread

All soccer betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MALTA: (+3200) | ITALY: (-1300) | Draw (+900)
Spread: MALTA: +2 (+220) | ITALY: -2 (-115)
Total: 3.5 – Over: (+102) | Under: (-130)
Team to Score the First Goal: MALTA: (+650) | ITALY: (-850) I NO GOALS: (+2900)

Italy enters this contest as a massive road favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 2:45 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 3.5 goals with the under being favored at -130 odds.

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Malta vs Italy Prediction & Pick

It's safe to say Thursday's match was a mess for Italy. The Italians let up two goals before halftime arrived and couldn't benefit from an England red card to mount a comeback. The good news is that they controlled possession for 58% of the game and should be able to do the same against Malta.

Malta only controlled possession for 40% of the match against North Macedonia and was picked apart by a team that ranks No. 65 in the world, according to FIFA. Italy checks in as the No. 8 team in the world and is stacked with talented pros. That will be evident in a blowout win for the road squad.

Final Score Prediction: Malta: 0 | Italy: 3

Malta vs Italy Betting Trends

- Italy defeated Malta 1-0 in the last head-to-head matchup on Sept. 3, 2015.
- Italy is 4-0-0 (W-D-L) in its last four matches against Malta.
- Malta is 1-1-3 (W-D-L) in its last five matches overall.
- Italy is 3-0-2 (W-D-L) in its last five matches overall.

Malta vs Italy Best Bet

This is a match in which Italy should be able to assert its dominance from the start. Malta has allowed 16 first half goals in its last 17 games despite posting four clean sheets during that span. That means when the Maltese fail on defense, it usually results in multiple scores. Italy's attack will shine here.

Bet: Italy First Half Over 1.5 Goals (+140)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.