Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Oct. 21

Rockets vs. Mavericks Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Toyota Center -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage:

The Houston Rockets host the Dallas Mavericks at Toyota Center, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The Rockets are 9.5-point favorites in this matchup, which will open the 2026-27 season for both teams. The over/under for the matchup is set at 230.5.

Rockets vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rockets win (84.6%)

Rockets vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Rockets compiled a 35-47-0 ATS record last year.
• The Mavericks went 11-11 as underdogs of 9.5 points or greater last season.
• Rockets games hit the over 39 out of 82 times last season.
• Out of 82 Mavericks games last year, 39 hit the over.
• At home last season, Houston had a worse record against the spread (16-25-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (19-22-0).
• Dallas was better against the spread at home (19-21-1) than away (16-25-0) last year.

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant recorded 26 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists last year. He also sank 52% of his shots from the field and 41.3% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per contest.
• Alperen Sengun collected 20.4 points, 8.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game last season. He also posted 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks.
• Amen Thompson's stats last season included 18.3 points, 7.8 boards and 5.3 assists per game. He made 53.4% of his shots from the field.
• Jabari Smith Jr. collected 15.8 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He sank 45% of his shots from the floor and 36.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 treys per contest.
• Reed Sheppard recorded 13.5 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest, plus 1.5 steals (ninth in NBA) and 0.7 blocks.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg put up 21 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists last year. At the other end, he put up 1.2 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Naji Marshall's numbers last season were 15.2 points, 4.7 boards and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 51% from the floor.
• P.J. Washington's numbers last season were 14.2 points, 7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 45% from the floor and 32.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.4 made 3-pointers.
• Max Christie collected 12.3 points, 3.2 boards and 2 assists, shooting 44.1% from the field and 40.4% from downtown, with 2.3 made treys per contest.
• Daniel Gafford averaged 9.5 points, 6.9 boards and 1.1 assists. At the other end, he put up 0.8 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.

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