Three weeks into the NFL season, we start to get a better feel for how things are shaking out this year. We have a lot more information to help us figure out which players' big games may have been flukes and which are signs of more big games to come in the future. On the other side of the coin, we also get a better idea of which disappointing players can still be counted on to bounce back and which ones fantasy owners should cut their losses on.
With those fantasy football buy-low and sell-high opportunities in mind, here are four fantasy football trades worth pursuing immediately as we look forward to Week 4 of the 2020 season.
Buy Low Week 4 Fantasy Football
1. Trade For: A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals
A.J. Green's 28 targets on the season are tied for the seventh most among wide receivers, but his 24.6 PPR fantasy points have him at just WR63 on the year. His lowly 46.4 percent catch rate is not going to be sustainable (his previous career low was 52.4 percent in 2017), and this lack of production through three weeks opens an excellent buy-low window for a guy who's averaging north of 9 targets per game.
2. Trade For: David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears
A big knock on David Montgomery's fantasy football outlook for 2020 was a lack of receiving upside, as he saw just 35 targets as a rookie and Tarik Cohen was set to serve as the Chicago Bears' primary receiving back. Well Cohen has been placed on the season-ending injured reserve, and Montgomery had already seen an uptick in receiving work, with 3 targets in each of his first three games this season. He's seen at least 16 opportunities (carries plus targets) each week, averaging 17.3 per game. That's not quite workhorse volume, but an uptick in touches with Cohen on the shelf could vault Montgomery into the conversation as a top-12 fantasy back.
Sell High Week 4 Fantasy Football
3. Trade Away: Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns
It's hard not to be thrilled with Nick Chubb's back-to-back 100-yard, 2-touchdowns games, but there's still some reason to be concerned about his value moving forward. Those were both wins in soft matchups, and he still played just 62 and 54% of the Cleveland Browns' offensive snaps (to 34 and 46% for Kareem Hunt). In a Week 1 loss, Hunt (49%) actually out-snapped Chubb (48%), suggesting Chubb's production this year is still going to be pretty game-flow dependent. He ranks No. 8 among RBs in PPR fantasy scoring, but just 21st in snap share. It's not like he's suddenly going to be a bust for the rest of the season, but if you can get a true workhorse in exchange for Chubb, that's a move you should make.
4. Trade Away: Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams
On the opposite end of the spectrum from Green, Robert Woods is the WR12 in PPR scoring, while his 19 targets are tied for just 30th at the position. Those targets also put him at second in his own offense (trailing Cooper Kupp's 21), and he's a real long-shot to keep producing top-12 numbers unless something happens that drastically shakes up the target distribution. If you can find someone willing to pay a premium for Woods' early-season production, take that opportunity immediately.
Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.