Best Home Run Bet for Today: FanDuel Daily Dinger Pick for Friday, September 11

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Max Muncy (+420)

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For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. This HR pick is taken from today’s home run picks article. Click here to find it as well our other MLB betting content.

Best Home Run Pick Today, Daily Dinger

Home Run Prediction: Max Muncy (+420)

Dodgers at Marlins, 7:11 p.m. ET

The high-powered Los Angeles Dodgers offense matches up with Ryan Gusto and a blah Miami Marlins bullpen. That puts me on Max Muncy to leave the yard.

Gusto, a RHP, has just a 19.3% K rate on the season, and that clip drops to 17.8% against left-handed hitters. He’s also allowing a 40.8% hard-hit rate to lefty bats.

Muncy has hit 27 bombs this year with a .365 wOBA. Of those 27 home runs, 21 have come against RHPs. Muncy has posted a 42.2% hard-hit rate and 43.9% fly-ball rate with the platoon advantage.

After Gusto, Muncy gets to take his hacks against a Marlins bullpen that has the fifth-worst xFIP over the past 30 days.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.