WNBA Betting Picks to Target for Friday 6/7/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
WNBA Betting Picks to Target for Friday 6/7/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Indiana Fever at Washington Mystics

Fever -2.5 (-112)

At 2-9, the Indiana Fever haven't done a lot of winning in 2024. But, despite playing the most games in the league, they also haven't gotten to face the winless Washington Mystics... until now. With Washington on the second night of a back-to-back, the Fever are in a nice spot to cover as 2.5-point road favorites.

Washington is fresh off an eight-point loss to the Chicago Sky, and they've now lost 9 of 10 games by three or more points. They've especially struggled during their last five games, during which the Mystics have been outscored by an average of 14.8 points per game.

For the season, Washington is dead last in offensive rating and eighth in defensive rating. They have the lowest total rebound rate (46.9%) and are averaging the second-most turnovers per game (17.7).

Simply put, there isn't much the Mystics are doing well right now. It doesn't help that Shakira Austin is unlikely to play and Brittney Sykes remains without a timetable to return.

Meanwhile, Indiana is coming off five days rest -- their most since opening night. That could do wonders for them tonight given how tough of a schedule they've played thus far. Of their nine losses, eight have come against the New York Liberty (second in net rating), Connecticut Sun (first), Seattle Storm (fifth), and Las Vegas Aces (fourth).

Talk about a gauntlet.

They otherwise split a two-game set with the Los Angeles Sparks and took one against Chicago, both teams the Mystics lost against.

So, while their 111.8 defensive rating is easily the worst mark in the W, it's somewhat excusable. In their three games with LA and Chicago, the Fever only let up more than 75 points once.

Considering how bad the Mystics have been on offense, the Fever shouldn't have much difficulty slowing them down. That puts them in a favorable position to cover, so I'll jump on this -2.5 number at -110 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces

Storm +8 (-110)

It doesn't feel great to bet against MVP frontrunner A'ja Wilson right now, but I can't help but think the Seattle Storm are getting undersold here. They're in a good spot to cover as eight-point road underdogs tonight.

Following a 1-3 start, the Storm have rattled off five straight wins. Granted, they haven't exactly played the best the W has to offer, but the games haven't really been close, either. After squeaking out a two-point win against the Fever on May 22nd, the Storm have won their last four games by an average of 18.5 points per game.

For the season, Seattle is now up to third in defensive rating. They've held opponents to the third-lowest FG% (40.6%) while forcing the second-most turnovers (17.9) per game. With Nneka Ogwumike (2.2 steals per game) and Ezi Magbegor (3.0 blocks) top five in steals and blocks, the Storm have the interior personnel to battle Wilson and the Aces down low.

Wilson is going to get hers. She's a -155 favorite to win MVP for a reason, but the Storm have enough firepower on the perimeter to keep things tight.

While Jewell Loyd (19.2 points; 34% FG%) and Skylar Diggins-Smith (14.7 points; 39.3% FG%) have both struggled with efficiency, they form one of the W's top backcourts. We've seen them pick things up during this five-game win streak, propelling Seattle to the league's top offensive rating over that span.

The Aces are still without Chelsea Gray, and we've seen them dip to seventh in defensive rating early. Granted, they lead the league in offensive rating, but the Storm have shown the firepower to keep up with them of late. At +1500 odds to win the WNBA Championship, Seattle is one of the five teams in true contention for the title. Considering how well they've played of late, I like them to keep things within eight tonight.

Dallas Wings at Los Angeles Sparks

Over 161 (-110)

The Dallas Wings and Los Angeles Sparks face off in LA for the second time tonight. Their first date ended in a one-point Dallas W that resulted in 167 total points. With the over/under set at 161 for tonight's rematch, I like the over.

Dallas and LA are both in the bottom four in defensive rating, but they're sixth and fifth in pace. While the Sparks are a measly 10th in offensive rating, the Wings are up to fifth.

Neither team defends the interior all that well, and that resulted in both sides exceeding 43 paint points in their first matchup. That was in part due to both sides shooting less than 30% from beyond the arc, but it gives the over a chance even if they struggle from three again. For the season, Dallas is averaging 5.1 threes per game on 30.8% shooting, and LA is averaging 7.4 threes per game on 32.5% shooting.

Both sides have someone in the top five individual scoring, with Arike Ogunbowale putting up 27.1 points per game and Dearica Hamby averaging 20.4. The two went for 20 and 19, respectively, in the first matchup, so there could be even more scoring in store if the stars show up.

This is just too low of a total for two teams who struggle on defense as much as the Wings and Sparks. We saw them go over this total despite off shooting nights in their first matchup, so there's reason to expect another high-scoring affair tonight.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.