WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/9/24

Austin Swaim
Austin SwaimASwaim3
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/9/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings

Over 165.5 (-110)
Brittney Griner to Score 15+ Points (+106)

Don't expect Brittney Griner to be a cure-all for the Phoenix Mercury defense.

The former top pick and longtime superstar returned on Friday to 21 minutes, but Griner is no solution on that end of the floor for the shootout-prone squad from "The Valley". Phoenix had a league-worst 107.9 rating on that end of the floor with her in the fold last year.

With that in mind, the Mercury and Dallas Wings have two of the three worst defensive ratings in 2024, and they both play at a top-five pace. That smells like an over.

DRatings and Massey Ratings agree. A combined average median total of 167.3 points between them would imply roughly -122 odds for at least 166 points, so we're getting a bit of value here.

As for Griner, expect her to get going as her minutes ramp up. No team in the WNBA surrenders more paint points per game (40.0) than the Wings. Griner's 22.9% usage rate in her debut was healthy given the circumstance and a tough Minnesota Lynx interior, too.

Rotowire has Griner projected for 17.1 points in 30.0 minutes on Sunday.

Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx

Lynx ML (-122)

This is an obvious spot to buy the Lynx off a tight loss -- and sell the Seattle Storm after a season-defining win.

Seattle went into the Las Vegas Aces' building and beat them by 13 points. Overall, though, Minnesota has been the more reliable squad. The Lynx's +11.3 net rating towers over the Storm's (+7.9), and the gap gets wider based on location. While actually dropping a bit in net rating at home (+10.9), their relative gap to Seattle gets larger in their building, per the Storm's +4.5 road net rating.

DRatings (52.2%) and Massey (62.0%) both have Minnesota rebounding to win this one in their own building. With just a basket margin on the spread, I'd also endorse Lynx -1.5 (-108), as well.

Las Vegas Aces at Los Angeles Sparks

Aces Over 85.5 Points (-115)
A'ja Wilson Over 28.5 Points (-122)

In the same vein as expecting Seattle to pull back, expect the Aces to rebound against the rebuilding Los Angeles Sparks.

L.A. is one of the squishiest matchups to score on in the W. They combine the league's third-worst defensive rating (104.0) with its seventh-highest pace, and they've given up at least 80 points in 8 of their 10 games. Now, the Aces -- certainly miffed about Friday's proceedings -- will take aim.

Las Vegas has topped 88 points in five of their eight games behind the league's fourth-best true-shooting percentage (53.0 TS%). The Sparks also cede the most points per game off turnovers (19.3) in the entire NBA, which should lead to free baskets.

DRatings (89.1) and Massey (85.0) have Las Vegas as Sunday's highest-scoring club. I'll take Becky Hammon's club to sail past 85 points in this spot.

I'd also sprint to A'ja Wilson's points line while it's still available at this mark. Jackie Young will miss Sunday's game with an illness, boosting even more usage onto the two-time reigning WNBA MVP's plate. She already leads the league in that category (33.4%) and should easily flirt with 30 points against a Sparks defense allowing a ton of shots in her mid-range office (13.7 per game when 10-to-19 feet from the basket).

Rotowire has Wilson projected for 29.3 points on Sunday. Wilson to Record 30+ Points (+106) is a near coinflip for a reason.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.