WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/23/24

Austin Swaim
Austin SwaimASwaim3
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/23/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream

Breanna Stewart Over 8.5 Rebounds (-114)

Breanna Stewart has been anything but a letdown recently, but she has underperformed in one category the past few games.

Lost in a torrid stretch of scoring, "Stewie" hasn't topped six rebounds in her last contests despite averaging 8.6 rebounds per game this season. I think it's been a product of matchup with the Los Angeles Sparks (twice) and Phoenix Mercury two of the top-five teams in rebounding percentage (REB%) since Phoenix got Brittney Griner back in the fold.

The opposing Atlanta Dream are a different story. They're sixth-worst in the W in REB% at 70.7%, and they lost athletic forward Rhyne Howard to a foot injury, which should only make things worse.

Rotowire has Stewart projected for 10.3 rebounds today, and I'm of the assumption she gets back into double digits in softer matchups fairly soon.

Connecticut Sun at Seattle Storm

Sun Moneyline (-106)

The 13-2 Connecticut Sun are arguably the surprise of the WNBA season, and bettors and oddsmakers alike seem to think they're slowing down.

While they've failed to cover two straight and enter off just their second loss of the season against the Las Vegas Aces, I'm still a believer in one of the W's most talented starting fives. Connecticut's overall net rating (+11.4) is still third in the league. The up-and-down Seattle Storm (+4.5) just haven't been able to match that same level of play consistently.

In particular, Seattle's Jewell Loyd is 3-for-24 (12.5%) from the field entering this matchup with the league's second-best defensive rating (91.8) and stud perimeter defender Dijonai Carrington. This is a bad time to be struggling with your shot.

DRatings has Connecticut 55.1% likely to win this one, and Massey Ratings (58.0%) is even more optimistic. I'll happily take the road side as a small underdog.

Dallas Wings at Washington Mystics

Natasha Howard to Score 15+ Points (-112)

One of the most odd games in the WNBA this season took place between the Dallas Wings and Washington Mystics yesterday.

3-13 Washington mopped Dallas by 28 points thanks to a 23-point explosion from Emily Engstler off the bench. Engstler hadn't topped seven points all season before that. I'll avoid a side in the rematch.

Instead, the banged-up Wings will need someone to score to nod this weekend series at one, and I think veteran Natasha Howard posts her best scoring effort of the season today. She hasn't eclipsed 25 minutes since returning from injury but still has posted 15.7 points per game, stepping right into the role vacated by Maddy Siegrist's hand injury.

Her 26.1% usage is eighth in the W already. She and Arike Ongumbowale (30.1%) have formed a two-headed monster with not much behind them, yet this low bar is all that's required against the WNBA's sixth-worst defense by rating (100.9).

Rotowire has Howard projected at 15.3 points on Sunday when an accurate projection of 15.0 would show value here.

Indiana Fever at Chicago Sky

Sky -2 (-112)
Marina Mabrey Over 7.5 Rebounds and Assists (-140)

The Indiana Fever have burned contrarian bettors recently, but there's been a single factor consistent with their success: home court advantage.

Indiana has the best in the WNBA behind star Caitlin Clark, and they've responded with an improved -6.5 net rating at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. On the road? It's a dismal -12.3 -- worst in the league.

The Sky were victims last Sunday, 91-83, to the Fever at home. Forcing Indiana onto the road, I like their chances to cover a basket. They've been a significantly better team all season with a -1.5 net rating overall, and their reduced home rating (-4.3) has more to do with schedule having already hosted New York, Seattle, and Connecticut twice within the young season.

DRatings and Massey combine for an average spread in Chicago's direction of 3.0 points, so there's a bit of analytical value on this number. In a Sky win, expect Marina Mabrey to contribute in all categories.

I like buying the dip in her secondary categories after, shockingly, hasn't topped seven rebounds and assists (RA) in her last three outings. The former Notre Dame stat-stuffer has averaged 10.0 RA per 36 minutes this season, and Indiana allows the sixth-most rebounds (19.8) and second-most assists (12.0) per game to opposing guards.

Rotowire projects Mabrey for 9.8 combined RA on Sunday, which would crush this mark.

You always want to use profit boosts to maximize reduction in implied probability, so this could be a good spot for FanDuel's 30% WNBA Profit Boost. It would knock the current implied from -140 (58.3%) toward even money.

You can’t spell “weekend” without the W! All customers get a 30% Profit Boost to use on any WNBA game happening June 21-23. See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Looking for more WNBA betting opportunities? Check out the WNBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.