Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 2

Warriors vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
• Time: 11 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder (20-1) are big, 11.5-point favorites as they try to build on a 12-game winning streak when they visit the Golden State Warriors (11-10) on Tuesday, December 2, 2025 at Chase Center. The game airs at 11 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The matchup has a point total of 222.5.

Warriors vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (54.8%)

Warriors vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 10 times in 21 games with a set spread.
• The Warriors have nine wins against the spread in 21 games this year.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 11 times this season.
• The Warriors have gone over the point total 57.1% of the time this year (12 of 21 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered five times in 10 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered five times in 11 opportunities on the road.
• The Thunder have gone over the total in five of 10 home games (50%). They've fared better in road games, topping the total in six of 11 matchups (54.5%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Golden State has a better winning percentage at home (.556, 5-3-1 record) than on the road (.333, 4-8-0).
• Warriors games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (four times out of nine) than away (eight of 12) this season.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 15.2 points, 3.5 boards and 3.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 18.2 points, 8 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 55.5% from the floor and 35.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.4 made treys.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 8.7 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 43.7% from the field and 37.3% from downtown, with an average of 1.6 made treys.
• Jaylin Williams is averaging 6 points, 4.6 boards and 2.3 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III is averaging 20.2 points, 5.7 boards and 5.2 assists for the Warriors.
• The Warriors receive 12.3 points per game from Brandin Podziemski, plus 4.6 rebounds and 3 assists.
• Per game, Draymond Green gets the Warriors 8 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.8 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Per game, Moses Moody provides the Warriors 12.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists, plus 1 steal and 0.8 blocks.
• The Warriors get 13.5 points per game from Jonathan Kuminga, plus 6.2 boards and 2.8 assists.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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