Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 11

Warriors vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: ESPN and FDSSW

The San Antonio Spurs (37-16) will look to continue a five-game winning streak when they visit the Golden State Warriors (29-25) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at Chase Center as 7-point favorites. The game airs at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN and FDSSW. The over/under for the matchup is set at 220.5.

Warriors vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Warriors vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Spurs have gone 27-22-4 against the spread this season.
• The Warriors have played 54 games, with 24 wins against the spread.
• Spurs games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 21 times out of 54 chances this season.
• Warriors games this season have hit the over on 30 of 54 set point totals (55.6%).
• San Antonio has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 12 times in 25 games when playing at home, and it has covered 15 times in 28 games on the road.
• Looking at point totals, the Spurs hit the over more consistently when playing at home, as they've exceeded the total 10 times in 25 opportunities this season (40%). In road games, they have hit the over 11 times in 28 opportunities (39.3%).
• Golden State's winning percentage against the spread at home is .481 (13-13-1). On the road, it is .407 (11-16-0).
• Warriors games have gone above the over/under more often at home (16 times out of 27) than away (14 of 27) this season.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama's numbers on the season are 24.4 points, 11.1 boards and 2.7 assists per contest, shooting 51.2% from the floor and 37% from downtown, with an average of 1.8 made treys.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 19.3 points, 3.9 boards and 6.2 assists.
• Stephon Castle averages 16.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 7 assists.
• Keldon Johnson averages 13.4 points, 5.9 boards and 1.4 assists, shooting 54.7% from the floor and 38.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 made treys per game.
• Julian Champagnie averages 11.3 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists, shooting 42.5% from the floor and 37.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made treys per game.

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski averages 11.9 points, 4.6 boards and 3.6 assists. He is also draining 44.9% of his shots from the field and 37.2% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per contest.
• The Warriors are receiving 8.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game from Draymond Green.
• The Warriors are receiving 11.4 points, 3.3 boards and 1.5 assists per game from Moses Moody.
• Quinten Post's numbers on the season are 7.6 points, 3.8 boards and 1.4 assists per contest. He is making 43.5% of his shots from the field and 34.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.5 triples.
• Per game, Al Horford gets the Warriors 7.6 points, 4.9 boards and 2.4 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.