Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 22

Warriors vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: ABC

The Denver Nuggets (36-21) face the Golden State Warriors (29-27) as 4.5-point favorites on Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The over/under in the matchup is 230.5.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nuggets win (50.5%)

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Nuggets are 32-25-0 against the spread this season.
• The Warriors are 24-31-1 against the spread this season.
• This season, Nuggets games have hit the over 36 times out of 56 chances.
• Warriors games this season have hit the over 57.1% of the time (32 out of 56 games with a set point total).
• When playing at home, Denver owns a worse record against the spread (12-14-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (20-11-0).
• At home, the Nuggets exceed the over/under 57.7% of the time (15 of 26 games). They hit the over more often in road games, topping the total in 67.7% of games (21 of 31).
• This year, Golden State is 13-15-1 at home against the spread (.448 winning percentage). Away, it is 11-16-0 ATS (.407).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Warriors' games have finished above the over/under at home (62.1%, 18 of 29) than away (51.9%, 14 of 27).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.6 points, 12.3 rebounds and 10.5 assists, shooting 58.6% from the floor and 41.4% from downtown, with 1.9 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 25.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 7.6 assists per contest, shooting 48.2% from the floor and 42.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 3.2 made treys (eighth in league).
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 14 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists, shooting 45.4% from the floor and 40.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 made treys per game.
• Bruce Brown is averaging 7.7 points, 4 boards and 2.2 assists.
• Jonas Valanciunas is averaging 9 points, 1.2 assists and 5.2 rebounds.

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski's numbers on the season are 12 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. He is also sinking 45.1% of his shots from the floor and 36.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.6 triples.
• The Warriors receive 8.4 points per game from Draymond Green, plus 5.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists.
• The Warriors get 11.5 points per game from Moses Moody, plus 3.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists.
• Quinten Post averages 7.7 points, 3.8 boards and 1.4 assists. He is sinking 43.9% of his shots from the floor and 35% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per contest.
• The Warriors receive 7.5 points per game from Al Horford, plus 5 rebounds and 2.4 assists.

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