Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 28

Warriors vs. Lakers Game Info

• Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: ABC

The Los Angeles Lakers (34-24) are 3.5-point favorites as they attempt to turn around a three-game losing streak when they visit the Golden State Warriors (31-28) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Chase Center. The matchup airs at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The matchup has a point total of 227.5.

Warriors vs. Lakers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (68.2%)

Warriors vs. Lakers Betting Trends

• The Lakers have covered the spread 29 times this season (29-28-1).
• The Warriors have 26 wins against the spread in 59 games this season.
• Lakers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 31 times out of 59 chances this season.
• Warriors games this season have hit the over on 34 of 59 set point totals (57.6%).
• In home games, Los Angeles sports a worse record against the spread (13-14-1) compared to its ATS record in away games (16-14-0).
• The Lakers have gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (64.3%) than road tilts (43.3%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Golden State has a better winning percentage at home (.467, 14-15-1 record) than away (.414, 12-17-0).
• Warriors games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (19 times out of 30) than away (15 of 29) this season.

Lakers Leaders

• Luka Doncic averages 32.7 points, 7.8 boards and 8.6 assists, shooting 47% from the field and 35.7% from downtown, with 3.7 made treys per game (first in league).
• LeBron James averages 21.5 points, 5.7 boards and 7 assists, shooting 49.8% from the field and 29.9% from downtown, with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game.
• Deandre Ayton is averaging 13 points, 8.4 boards and 0.9 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Austin Reaves averages 24.6 points, 5 boards and 5.5 assists, shooting 50.2% from the field and 37.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 made treys per game.
• Jake LaRavia's numbers on the season are 9.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 46.8% from the field and 32.8% from downtown, with an average of 1.1 made 3-pointers.

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski is averaging 12.3 points, 5 rebounds and 3.7 assists for the Warriors.
• Moses Moody's numbers on the season are 12 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is draining 44.6% of his shots from the floor and 40.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.5 treys.
• The Warriors get 8.5 points per game from Draymond Green, plus 5.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists.
• The Warriors are receiving 7.6 points, 4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Quinten Post.
• Al Horford averages 8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists. He is sinking 43.1% of his shots from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per contest.

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