Warriors vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 5

Warriors vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage:

The Golden State Warriors (5-3) are favored (-7.5) to continue a five-game winning streak when they host the Miami Heat (3-5) at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at Chase Center. The contest airs on Miami Heat. The matchup has an over/under of 235.5 points.

Warriors vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (60.8%)

Warriors vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Warriors have compiled a 6-2-0 record against the spread this season.
• Thus far this year the Heat have two wins against the spread.
• This season, Warriors games have hit the over five times.
• Heat games this season have gone over the total in four of eight opportunities (50%).
• Golden State has covered the spread in the same percentage of games at home as away games (75%). It has covered three times in four games at home and three times in four games on the road.
• When it comes to over/unders, the Warriors hit the over less consistently in home games, as they've exceeded the total two times in four opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over three times in four opportunities (75%).
• Miami's winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .250. It is 1-3-0 ATS on its home court and 1-3-0 on the road.
• Both at home (two of four) and on the road (two of four), the Heat's games have gone over (in terms of the over/under) 50% of the time.

Warriors Leaders

• Yaxel Lendeborg's numbers on the season are 21.5 points, 7 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game, shooting 50% from the floor and 40% from downtown, with an average of 2.5 made treys.
• Stephen Curry averages 30 points, 4.2 boards and 4.5 assists.
• Brandin Podziemski's numbers on the season are 17 points, 5 boards and 5 assists per game, shooting 46.3% from the floor and 35% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.3 made 3-pointers.
• De'Anthony Melton is averaging 10.6 points, 4.5 boards and 2.3 assists.
• Brandon Williams is averaging 11.6 points, 2.9 boards and 2.4 assists.

Heat Leaders

• Giannis Antetokounmpo's numbers on the season are 28.3 points, 12.5 boards and 5.8 assists per contest. He is also draining 56.2% of his shots from the floor.
• Per game, Bam Adebayo gets the Heat 18.6 points, 8.3 boards and 3.5 assists. He also averages 2.1 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.6 blocks.
• Per game, Davion Mitchell provides the Heat 15.4 points, 1.5 boards and 8.3 assists, plus 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Bobby Portis Jr.'s numbers on the season are 8.3 points, 7.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He is making 39.7% of his shots from the floor and 35.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.5 triples.
• Pelle Larsson averages 10.9 points, 3.4 boards and 3.8 assists. He is making 44.4% of his shots from the floor.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.