Michigan State vs Toledo College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 5

The Michigan State Spartans (1-0) take on the Toledo Rockets (0-1) on November 5, 2026.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Toledo Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock/NBCSN
• Location: East Lansing, Michigan
• Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State is a 25.5-point favorite over Toledo on Thursday and the over/under is set at 152.5 points. Here's a few betting trends and insights if you plan to place a wager on the outing.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Michigan State vs. Toledo: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State put together a 19-16-0 record against the spread last season.
• Toledo went 18-14-0 ATS last year.
• The Spartans sported a worse record against the spread at home (8-9-0) than they did in road games (6-4-0) last season.
• The Rockets' winning percentage against the spread at home was .462 (6-7-0) last year. Away, it was .643 (9-5-0).

Michigan State vs. Toledo: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State won 88.9% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (24-3).
• The Spartans never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -33333 or shorter.
• Toledo was an underdog 13 times last season and won four, or 30.8%, of those games.
• The Rockets were not a bigger underdog last season than the +4000 moneyline set for this game.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives Michigan State a 99.7% chance to win.

Michigan State vs. Toledo Head-to-Head Comparison

• With 78.8 points scored per game and 68.3 points conceded last season, Michigan State was 101st in the nation offensively and 41st defensively.
• Last season, Michigan State was 17th-best in the country in rebounds (36.7 per game) and best in rebounds conceded (25.4).
• Last season Michigan State was fourth-best in the country in assists with 18.6 per game.
• With 10.8 turnovers committed per game and 9.4 turnovers forced last year, Michigan State was 174th and 323rd in college basketball, respectively.
• Toledo scored 81 points per game (64th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while giving up 76.6 points per contest (256th-ranked).
• With 30.1 rebounds per game, Toledo was 280th in the country. It gave up 32.2 rebounds per contest, which ranked 251st in college basketball.
• Toledo delivered 15.8 assists per game, which ranked them 66th in the nation.
• Toledo committed 9.9 turnovers per game (73rd-ranked in college basketball). It forced 12 turnovers per contest (92nd-ranked).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!