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Virginia vs Ohio State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 14

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Virginia vs Ohio State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 14

The Virginia Cavaliers (21-3) will try to continue a five-game win streak when they visit the Ohio State Buckeyes (16-8) on February 14, 2026 at Bridgestone Arena.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. Ohio State Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Virginia vs. Ohio State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Virginia win (67%)

Before you bet on Saturday's Virginia-Ohio State spread (Virginia -5.5) or over/under (146.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Virginia vs. Ohio State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Virginia has won 13 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
  • Ohio State has covered 10 times in 24 chances against the spread this season.
  • Ohio State covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point underdog or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Virginia covers as a favorite of 5.5 or more (42.1%).
  • The Cavaliers have done a better job covering the spread in home games (7-6-0) than they have in road affairs (4-4-0).
  • Against the spread, the Buckeyes have had better results away (4-4-0) than at home (5-9-0).

Virginia vs. Ohio State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Virginia has been victorious in 16, or 84.2%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
  • This year, the Cavaliers have won 14 of 17 games when listed as at least -240 or better on the moneyline.
  • Ohio State has been the underdog on the moneyline eight total times this season. Ohio State has gone 2-6 in those games.
  • The Buckeyes have played as a moneyline underdog of +195 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Virginia has a 70.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Virginia vs. Ohio State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Virginia averages 81.9 points per game (64th in college basketball) while allowing 67.5 per contest (36th in college basketball). It has a +346 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 14.4 points per game.
  • Thijs De Ridder paces Virginia, recording 16.1 points per game (203rd in the nation).
  • Ohio State has a +189 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.9 points per game. It is putting up 81.6 points per game, 68th in college basketball, and is allowing 73.7 per outing to rank 183rd in college basketball.
  • Bruce Thornton is ranked 47th in college basketball with a team-leading 19.3 points per game.
  • The Cavaliers win the rebound battle by an average of 8.6 boards. They are collecting 37.8 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.2 per contest.
  • De Ridder tops the team with 6.6 rebounds per game (205th in college basketball play).
  • The Buckeyes record 30.8 rebounds per game (263rd in college basketball) while conceding 28.9 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.9 boards per game.
  • Devin Royal averages 5.7 rebounds per game (353rd in college basketball) to lead the Buckeyes.
  • Virginia puts up 104.1 points per 100 possessions (48th in college basketball), while allowing 85.8 points per 100 possessions (19th in college basketball).
  • The Buckeyes rank 33rd in college basketball averaging 105.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 216th, allowing 95.4 points per 100 possessions.

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