Virginia vs NC State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 24

The Virginia Cavaliers (24-3, 12-2 ACC) will host the NC State Wolfpack (19-8, 10-4 ACC) after winning three straight home games.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. NC State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Arena: John Paul Jones Arena

Virginia vs. NC State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Virginia win (76.7%)

Virginia is a 5.5-point favorite against NC State on Tuesday and the over/under has been set at 152.5 points. Here are a few betting trends and insights before you decide to wager on the outing.

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Virginia vs. NC State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Virginia has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• NC State is 14-13-0 ATS this season.
• Virginia covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point favorite or more 40.9% of the time. That's more often than NC State covers as an underdog of 5.5 or more (never covered this season).
• Against the spread, the Cavaliers have performed worse when playing at home, covering seven times in 14 home games, and five times in nine road games.
• This year, the Wolfpack are 8-7-0 at home against the spread (.533 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-4-0 ATS (.500).
• Virginia's record against the spread in conference action is 7-7-0.
• Against the spread in ACC games, NC State is 7-7-0 this season.

Virginia vs. NC State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Virginia has been victorious in 19, or 86.4%, of the 22 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Cavaliers have come away with a win 15 times in 17 chances when named as a favorite of at least -275 or shorter on the moneyline.
• NC State has won one of the three games it was the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%).
• The Wolfpack have played as a moneyline underdog of +220 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• Virginia has an implied victory probability of 73.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Virginia vs. NC State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Virginia's +379 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14 points per game) is a result of scoring 82 points per game (58th in college basketball) while allowing 68 per outing (41st in college basketball).
• Virginia's leading scorer, Thijs De Ridder, ranks 220th in the nation putting up 15.9 points per game.
• NC State has a +299 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.1 points per game. It is putting up 84.9 points per game, 24th in college basketball, and is allowing 73.8 per contest to rank 186th in college basketball.
• Darrion Williams is 369th in the country with a team-high 14.2 points per game.
• The Cavaliers come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 8.8 boards. They are grabbing 37.6 rebounds per game (12th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 28.8 per outing.
• De Ridder averages 6.4 rebounds per game (ranking 230th in college basketball) to lead the Cavaliers.
• The 32.4 rebounds per game the Wolfpack accumulate rank 163rd in the nation. Their opponents grab 32.9.
• Ven-Allen Lubin's 7.1 rebounds per game lead the Wolfpack and rank 147th in the country.
• Virginia ranks 44th in college basketball by averaging 104.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 26th in college basketball, allowing 86.5 points per 100 possessions.
• The Wolfpack rank 22nd in college basketball averaging 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 149th, allowing 93.6 points per 100 possessions.

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