Virginia vs NC State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - ACC Tournament

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Virginia vs NC State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - ACC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Virginia Cavaliers (23-9, 13-7 ACC) head into the ACC tournament against the No. 10 seed NC State Wolfpack (20-14, 9-11 ACC) on Friday at Capital One Arena, tipping off at 9:30 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. NC State Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Friday, March 15, 2024
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Arena: Capital One Arena

Virginia vs. NC State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Virginia win (53.4%)

Before you wager on Friday's Virginia-NC State spread (Virginia -2.5) or total (122.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Virginia vs. NC State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Virginia has compiled an 18-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • NC State has covered 15 times in 34 matchups with a spread this year.
  • As a 2.5-point favorite or more in 2023-24, Virginia is 14-8 against the spread compared to the 5-7 ATS record NC State puts up as a 2.5-point underdog.
  • Against the spread, the Cavaliers have fared better at home, covering 11 times in 17 home games, and five times in 11 road games.
  • The Wolfpack's winning percentage against the spread at home is .471 (8-9-0). On the road, it is .364 (4-7-0).
  • Virginia has beaten the spread 12 times in 21 conference games.
  • NC State is 10-13-0 against the spread in ACC play this season.

Virginia vs. NC State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Virginia has won in 19, or 90.5%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Cavaliers have come away with a win 17 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -134 or better on the moneyline.
  • NC State has won 28.6% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (4-10).
  • The Wolfpack have a 2-8 record (winning just 20% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +112 or longer.
  • Virginia has an implied victory probability of 57.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Virginia vs. NC State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Virginia is outscoring opponents by 4.3 points per game with a +140 scoring differential overall. It puts up 63.5 points per game (354th in college basketball) and gives up 59.2 per contest (third in college basketball).
  • Reece Beekman ranks 367th in the nation with a team-leading 14.2 points per game.
  • NC State has a +116 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.4 points per game. It is putting up 76.2 points per game, 104th in college basketball, and is allowing 72.8 per outing to rank 212th in college basketball.
  • DJ Horne's team-leading 16.8 points per game rank him 143rd in college basketball.
  • The Cavaliers rank 314th in the country at 32.8 rebounds per game. That's 1.7 fewer than the 34.5 their opponents average.
  • Ryan Dunn leads the team with 6.9 rebounds per game (191st in college basketball play).
  • The Wolfpack fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.1 boards. They are recording 35.0 rebounds per game (191st in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 36.1.
  • Mohamed Diarra is 173rd in the nation with 7.1 rebounds per game, leading the Wolfpack.
  • Virginia's 91.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 252nd in college basketball, and the 85.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 18th in college basketball.
  • The Wolfpack average 97.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (110th in college basketball), and concede 93.5 points per 100 possessions (204th in college basketball).

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