Virginia vs Miami (FL) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 21

Two streaking teams square off when the Virginia Cavaliers (23-3, 11-2 ACC) host the Miami Hurricanes (21-5, 10-3 ACC) on February 21, 2026. The Cavaliers will put their seven-game win streak on the line against the Hurricanes, who have won four straight.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. Miami (FL) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
• Game time: 2 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Arena: John Paul Jones Arena

Check out these betting insights and trends before you wager on Saturday's Virginia-Miami (FL) spread (Virginia -7.5) or total (145.5 points).

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Virginia vs. Miami (FL): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Virginia has compiled a 14-12-0 record against the spread this season.
• Miami (FL) has compiled a 13-13-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Virginia covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Miami (FL) covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Cavaliers have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 13 games at home, and they've covered five times in nine games when playing on the road.
• The Hurricanes have performed better against the spread away (5-2-0) than at home (7-9-0) this season.
• Virginia is 7-6-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
• Miami (FL) has five wins against the spread in 13 ACC games this year.

Virginia vs. Miami (FL): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Virginia has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 21 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (85.7%) in those games.
• The Cavaliers have yet to lose in 14 games when named as moneyline favorite of -385 or better.
• Miami (FL) has won 57.1% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-3).
• The Hurricanes have played as a moneyline underdog of +290 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Virginia has a 79.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Virginia vs. Miami (FL) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Offensively, Virginia was the fifth-worst team in the country (64.8 points per game) last year. Defensively, it was 39th (66.8 points allowed per game).
• On the boards, Virginia was worst in college basketball in rebounds (26.8 per game) last season. It was 104th in rebounds allowed (30.1 per game).
• At 14.7 assists per game last year, Virginia was 93rd in the country.
• Virginia was the 25th-best squad in college basketball in turnovers per game (9.3) but 19th-worst in turnovers forced (9.2) last year.
• Miami (FL) was ranked 167th in college basketball offensively last season with 74 points per game, while defensively it was eighth-worst (80.6 points allowed per game).
• Miami (FL) ranked 325th in college basketball with 29.2 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 135th with 30.5 rebounds allowed per game.
• Miami (FL) averaged 12.9 dimes per game, which ranked them 227th in the country.
• Miami (FL) was 87th in the country with 10.2 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 312th with 9.9 forced turnovers per game.

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