Utah State vs Villanova College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 9 Utah State Aggies (28-6) play the No. 8 Villanova Wildcats (24-8) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday, tipping off at 4:14 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Utah State vs. Villanova Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Game time: 4:14 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TNT
• Location: San Diego, California
• Arena: Viejas Arena

Utah State vs. Villanova Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Utah State win (59.3%)

Before making an informed wager on Utah State-Villanova contest (in which Utah State is a 1.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 146.5 points), here are some betting trends and insights for Friday's game.

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Utah State vs. Villanova: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Utah State is 14-19-0 ATS this season.
• Villanova has covered 19 times in 32 chances against the spread this year.
• Villanova covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point underdog or more 55.6% of the time. That's more often than Utah State covers as a favorite of 1.5 or more (43.3%).
• The Aggies have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (5-9-0) than they have in road games (4-8-0).
• This year, the Wildcats are 8-8-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, they are 8-4-0 ATS (.667).

Utah State vs. Villanova: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Utah State has been victorious in 26, or 86.7%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Aggies have won 26 of 30 games when listed as at least -134 or better on the moneyline.
• Villanova has been the moneyline underdog nine total times this season. Villanova has gone 3-6 in those games.
• The Wildcats have a 1-6 record (winning just 14.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +112 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Utah State has a 57.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Utah State vs. Villanova Head-to-Head Comparison

• At 79.9 points scored per game and 70 points allowed last season, Utah State was 40th in college basketball offensively and 110th defensively.
• Utah State was 214th in college basketball in rebounds per game (31.3) and 31st in rebounds conceded (28.3) last year.
• Last season Utah State was 13th-best in the country in assists with 17.1 per game.
• Last year, Utah State was 108th in the nation in turnovers committed (10.4 per game) and 62nd in turnovers forced (12.7).
• Villanova ranked 167th in the nation last year with 74 points per game. At the other end, it ranked 60th with 68.2 points allowed per contest.
• Villanova ranked 17th-best in college basketball by allowing only 27.7 rebounds per game. It ranked 239th in college basketball by grabbing 30.9 boards per contest.
• Villanova ranked 268th in the nation with 12.4 dimes per game.
• Villanova ranked 12th-best in the country by committing only 9.1 turnovers per game. In terms of forced turnovers, it ranked 331st in college basketball (9.6 per contest).

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