NCAAB

UC Davis vs Long Beach State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - Big West Tournament Championship

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
UC Davis vs Long Beach State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - Big West Tournament Championship

The No. 4 seed Long Beach State Beach (20-14, 10-10 Big West) are in the Big West championship game against the No. 2 UC Davis Aggies (20-12, 14-6 Big West). The title game is on Saturday at 9:30 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 16, 2024
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Henderson, Nevada
  • Arena: Dollar Loan Center

UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UC Davis win (57.8%)

Take a look at some betting trends and insights for UC Davis (-1.5) versus Long Beach State on Saturday. The over/under is set at 143.5 points for this game.

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UC Davis vs. Long Beach State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • UC Davis has covered 16 times in 30 games with a spread this season.
  • Long Beach State has covered 15 times in 32 matchups with a spread this season.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, UC Davis (8-11) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (42.1%) than Long Beach State (5-5) does as the underdog (50%).
  • When playing at home, the Aggies own a worse record against the spread (6-8-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (8-6-0).
  • In 2023-24 against the spread, the Beach have a lower winning percentage at home (.364, 4-7-0 record) than on the road (.562, 9-7-0).
  • UC Davis is 13-8-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
  • Long Beach State's Big West record against the spread is 10-12-0.

UC Davis vs. Long Beach State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • UC Davis has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (61.1%) in those contests.
  • This year, the Aggies have won 11 of 18 games when listed as at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Long Beach State has compiled a 6-6 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
  • The Beach are 4-5 (winning 44.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +104 or longer.
  • UC Davis has an implied victory probability of 55.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • UC Davis' +109 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 71.3 points per game (247th in college basketball) while giving up 67.9 per outing (66th in college basketball).
  • Elijah Pepper's 20.7 points per game lead UC Davis and rank 25th in college basketball.
  • Long Beach State's +67 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 2.0 points per game) is a result of putting up 77.9 points per game (65th in college basketball) while allowing 75.9 per contest (292nd in college basketball).
  • Marcus Tsohonis' team-leading 17.6 points per game rank him 97th in college basketball.
  • The Aggies pull down 33.3 rebounds per game (294th in college basketball) compared to the 33.6 of their opponents.
  • Niko Rocak is 588th in college basketball play with 5.0 rebounds per game to lead the Aggies.
  • The Beach win the rebound battle by 3.0 boards on average. They collect 38.2 rebounds per game, 52nd in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 35.2.
  • Lassina Traore's 10.4 rebounds per game lead the Beach and rank 11th in college basketball.
  • UC Davis averages 93.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (218th in college basketball), and gives up 89.1 points per 100 possessions (68th in college basketball).
  • The Beach average 94.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (199th in college basketball), and allow 91.8 points per 100 possessions (149th in college basketball).

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