Troy vs Georgia Southern College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Sun Belt Tournament Championship

The No. 1 seed Troy Trojans (21-11, 12-6 Sun Belt) will try to earn the Sun Belt championship and a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament when they meet the No. 10 Georgia Southern Eagles (21-15, 8-10 Sun Belt) on Monday at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Troy vs. Georgia Southern Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Monday, March 9, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Troy vs. Georgia Southern Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Troy win (70.4%)

Troy is a 5.5-point favorite over Georgia Southern on Monday and the over/under is set at 151.5 points. Here's some betting insights and trends before you decide to wager on the matchup.

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Troy vs. Georgia Southern: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Troy has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• Georgia Southern is 16-17-0 ATS this season.
• When the spread is set as 5.5 or more this season, Troy (6-8) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (42.9%) than Georgia Southern (3-3) does as the underdog (50%).
• The Trojans have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 11 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered eight times in 16 opportunities on the road.
• Against the spread, the Eagles have had better results away (7-7-0) than at home (5-7-0).
• Troy's record against the spread in conference play is 10-9-0.
• Georgia Southern has 10 wins against the spread in 22 Sun Belt games this season.

Troy vs. Georgia Southern: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Troy has come away with 14 wins in the 22 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Trojans have a mark of 10-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -225 or better on the moneyline.
• Georgia Southern has won 41.2% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (7-10).
• The Eagles are 1-5 (winning only 16.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +184 or longer.
• Troy has an implied victory probability of 69.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Troy vs. Georgia Southern Head-to-Head Comparison

• Troy has a +221 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.9 points per game. It is putting up 80.4 points per game to rank 80th in college basketball and is giving up 73.5 per contest to rank 172nd in college basketball.
• Troy's leading scorer, Victor Valdes, is 305th in the nation scoring 14.9 points per game.
• Georgia Southern outscores opponents by 1.7 points per game (posting 81.5 points per game, 59th in college basketball, and giving up 79.8 per outing, 325th in college basketball) and has a +61 scoring differential.
• Tyren Moore leads Georgia Southern, scoring 16.2 points per game (207th in college basketball).
• The Trojans rank 47th in the nation at 34.9 rebounds per game. That's 3.4 more than the 31.5 their opponents average.
• Thomas Dowd's 10 rebounds per game lead the Trojans and rank 15th in college basketball action.
• The Eagles record 30.4 rebounds per game (267th in college basketball) while conceding 34.3 per contest to opponents. They are outrebounded by 3.9 boards per game.
• Alden Applewhite's six rebounds per game lead the Eagles and rank 285th in college basketball.
• Troy averages 99.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (145th in college basketball), and allows 90.6 points per 100 possessions (68th in college basketball).
• The Eagles average 100 points per 100 possessions on offense (121st in college basketball), and give up 97.9 points per 100 possessions (256th in college basketball).

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