Timberwolves vs. Warriors Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 14

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: TNT, truTV, and MAX

The Minnesota Timberwolves are double-digit 11.5-point favorites in a decisive Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Timberwolves hold a 3-1 lead in the series. The matchup has a point total of 204.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Timberwolves win (62.5%)

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 39-42-1 against the spread this season.
• The Warriors are 41-38-3 against the spread this season.
• This season, Timberwolves games have hit the over 45 times.
• Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 50% of the time (41 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• When playing at home, Minnesota sports a worse record against the spread (17-23-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (22-19-0).
• The Timberwolves have exceeded the total in 25 of 41 home games (61%), compared to 20 of 41 road games (48.8%).
• Golden State's winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-22-1). On the road, it is .561 (23-16-2).
• In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Warriors' games have finished above the over/under at home (48.8%, 20 of 41) compared to away (51.2%, 21 of 41).

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards averages 27.6 points, 5.7 boards and 4.5 assists, shooting 44.7% from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 4.1 made 3-pointers per contest (second in NBA).
• Julius Randle averages 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists, shooting 48.5% from the field and 34.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 made treys per contest.
• Rudy Gobert is averaging 12 points, 10.9 boards and 1.8 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.4 blocked shots (eighth in league).
• Naz Reid averages 14.2 points, 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists, shooting 46.2% from the floor and 37.9% from downtown, with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jaden McDaniels is averaging 12.2 points, 2 assists and 5.7 rebounds.

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler averages 17.5 points for the Warriors, plus 5.4 boards and 5.4 assists.
• Per game, Draymond Green gets the Warriors 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists. He also averages 1.5 steals (ninth in league) and 1 block.
• Per game, Brandin Podziemski gives the Warriors 11.7 points, 5.1 boards and 3.4 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Buddy Hield's numbers on the season are 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is draining 41.7% of his shots from the field and 37% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.5 treys.
• Moses Moody's numbers on the season are 9.8 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is making 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 37.4% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.7 triples.

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