Timberwolves vs. Warriors Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 14

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: TNT, truTV, and MAX

The Minnesota Timberwolves are massive 10.5-point favorites in a decisive Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on Wednesday, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Timberwolves hold a 3-1 lead in the series. The matchup has a point total of 203.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Timberwolves win (62.5%)

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves are 39-42-1 against the spread this season.
• The Warriors are 41-38-3 against the spread this year.
• Timberwolves games have gone over the total 45 times this season.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals (50%).
• When playing at home, Minnesota owns a worse record against the spread (17-23-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (22-19-0).
• When playing at home, the Timberwolves exceed the total 61% of the time (25 of 41 games). They've hit the over in 48.8% of road games (20 of 41 contests).
• Golden State's winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-22-1). On the road, it is .561 (23-16-2).
• Looking at the over/under, Warriors games have finished over 20 of 41 times at home (48.8%), and 21 of 41 away (51.2%).

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.6 points, 5.7 boards and 4.5 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Julius Randle is averaging 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Rudy Gobert averages 12 points, 10.9 boards and 1.8 assists.
• Naz Reid is averaging 14.2 points, 2.3 assists and 6 boards.
• Jaden McDaniels is averaging 12.2 points, 2 assists and 5.7 rebounds.

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler averages 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He is also sinking 50.4% of his shots from the floor.
• The Warriors receive 9 points per game from Draymond Green, plus 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists.
• Brandin Podziemski's numbers on the season are 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game. He is draining 44.5% of his shots from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.8 treys.
• The Warriors are receiving 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Buddy Hield.
• Moses Moody's numbers on the season are 9.8 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He is sinking 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 37.4% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 treys.

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