Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 25

Thunder vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ABC and ESPN

The Western-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (26-4) are favored by 9.5 points as they look to hold off the No. 2 team in the conference, the San Antonio Spurs (22-7). The squads meet Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 2:30 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN. The point total in the matchup is 234.5.

Thunder vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Thunder vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a record of 16-14-0 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Spurs are 15-11-3 this season.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 16 times out of 29 chances this season.
• The Spurs have eclipsed the over/under 51.7% of the time this year (15 of 29 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (9-6-0) than it has in road affairs (7-8-0).
• In home games, the Thunder eclipse the total 53.3% of the time (eight of 15 games). They hit the over in the same percentage of road games (eight of 15 contests).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, San Antonio has a better winning percentage at home (.615, 8-3-2 record) than away (.438, 7-8-1).
• Spurs games have gone above the over/under 46.2% of the time at home (six of 13), and 56.2% of the time away (nine of 16).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.5 points, 4.8 boards and 6.6 assists.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.2 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 1.4 blocked shots (10th in league).
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11.4 points, 10.6 boards and 3 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 7.9 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
• Isaiah Joe averages 12 points, 3 rebounds and 1.5 assists, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 42.6% from downtown, with 2.8 made 3-pointers per game.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama's numbers on the season are 23.7 points, 11.8 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. He is also sinking 51.4% of his shots from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.5 triples.
• Per game, Devin Vassell provides the Spurs 15.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.5 blocks.
• Per game, De'Aaron Fox provides the Spurs 21.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists, plus 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Stephon Castle's numbers on the season are 18.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7 assists per game. He is sinking 50.6% of his shots from the floor and 30.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.3 treys.
• Keldon Johnson's numbers on the season are 13 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is draining 57.8% of his shots from the field (ninth in league) and 39% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.1 triples.

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