Thunder vs. Nuggets Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 18

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025
• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ABC

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8.5-point favorites for a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Paycom Center on Sunday, tipping off at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is tied 3-3. The over/under is 213.5 in the matchup.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (74.6%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder have registered a 54-26-2 record against the spread this season.
• The Nuggets have 38 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 44 times this season.
• Nuggets games this season have gone over the total in 49 of 82 opportunities (59.8%).
• Oklahoma City owns a better record against the spread in home games (29-12-1) than it does on the road (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have exceeded the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). On the road, they have hit the over in 19 of 40 games (47.5%).
• Against the spread, Denver has had better results on the road (20-20-1) than at home (18-23-0).
• Nuggets games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (26 times out of 41) than away (23 of 41) this year.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 51.9% from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.1 made 3-pointers.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.3 rebounds.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made 3-pointers.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.4 made 3-pointers.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists for the Nuggets.
• Jamal Murray averages 21.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists. He is also sinking 47.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from 3-point range, with 2.3 triples per contest.
• Michael Porter Jr. averages 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists. He is sinking 50.4% of his shots from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 treys per contest.
• Christian Braun's numbers on the season are 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He is draining 58% of his shots from the floor (eighth in league) and 39.7% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.1 treys.
• The Nuggets get 13.3 points per game from Russell Westbrook, plus 4.9 boards and 6.1 assists.

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