Thunder vs. Nuggets Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 13

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 13, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: TNT, MAX, and truTV

The Denver Nuggets are heavy 10-point underdogs in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, MAX, and truTV. The series is tied at 2-2. The matchup has an over/under of 221.5.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (74.7%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a 54-26-2 record against the spread this season.
• The Nuggets have 38 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• This season, 44 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total.
• The Nuggets have gone over the point total 59.8% of the time this season (49 of 82 games with a set point total).
• In home games, Oklahoma City has a better record against the spread (29-12-1) compared to its ATS record in away games (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). In away games, they have hit the over in 19 of 40 games (47.5%).
• Against the spread, Denver has had better results on the road (20-20-1) than at home (18-23-0).
• Nuggets games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (26 times out of 41) than away (23 of 41) this season.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.7 steals (fourth in league) and 1 block.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 58.1% from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made treys.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from downtown, with an average of 2.4 made treys.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 29.6 points for the Nuggets, plus 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists.
• Jamal Murray averages 21.4 points, 3.9 boards and 6 assists. He is also draining 47.4% of his shots from the field and 39.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per contest.
• The Nuggets get 18.2 points per game from Michael Porter Jr., plus 7 boards and 2.1 assists.
• The Nuggets receive 15.4 points per game from Christian Braun, plus 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
• Russell Westbrook averages 13.3 points, 4.9 boards and 6.1 assists. He is draining 44.9% of his shots from the field and 32.3% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest.

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