Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 5

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Info

• Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video

Two streaking teams meet when the Oklahoma City Thunder (21-1) host the Dallas Mavericks (8-15) on Friday, December 5, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Mavericks are 15-point underdogs and will attempt to keep their 13-game win streak allive against the Thunder, winners of 13 straight. The matchup has an over/under of 228.5 points.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (81.8%)

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 11 times in 22 games with a set spread.
• The Mavericks have 11 wins against the spread in 23 games this year.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 12 times out of 23 chances this season.
• The Mavericks have eclipsed the over/under 39.1% of the time this year (nine of 23 games with a set point total).
• At home, Oklahoma City owns the same winning percentage against the spread as it does in away games (.500).
• In home games, the Thunder eclipse the over/under 50% of the time (five of 10 games). They hit the over more consistently in away games, going over the total in 58.3% of games (seven of 12).
• This season, Dallas is 6-8-0 at home against the spread (.429 winning percentage). Away, it is 5-4-0 ATS (.556).
• Looking at the over/under, Mavericks games have gone over less often at home (five of 14, 35.7%) than away (four of nine, 44.4%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.8 points, 4.7 boards and 6.5 assists.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 15 points, 3.7 assists and 3.5 boards.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.4 points, 1.8 assists and 8 boards.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 8.4 points, 3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 43% from the field and 36% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.5 made 3-pointers.
• Jaylin Williams is averaging 5.7 points, 2.3 assists and 4.8 rebounds.

Mavericks Leaders

• Per game, Cooper Flagg gets the Mavericks 17.3 points, 6.6 boards and 3.3 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• P.J. Washington's numbers on the season are 16 points, 7.8 boards and 2.3 assists per game. He is draining 43.9% of his shots from the floor and 33.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.6 treys.
• Per game, Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 12.2 points, 5.3 boards and 2.6 assists, plus 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• The Mavericks receive 12.1 points per game from Max Christie, plus 3.3 rebounds and 2 assists.
• The Mavericks receive 10.5 points per game from Brandon Williams, plus 2.5 boards and 4 assists.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.