Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 5

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Info

• Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video

The Dallas Mavericks (8-15) will try to build on a three-game win streak when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (21-1) at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 5, 2025 as 15.5-point underdogs. The Thunder have won 13 games in a row. The matchup has a point total of 227.5.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (81.8%)

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Thunder have compiled an 11-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Mavericks have played 23 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• This season, 12 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total out of 23 chances.
• Mavericks games this year have gone over the point total nine times in 23 opportunities (39.1%).
• At home, Oklahoma City has the same winning percentage against the spread as it does on the road (.500).
• The Thunder have gone over the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in five of 10 home matchups (50%). In away games, they have hit the over in seven of 12 games (58.3%).
• This season, Dallas is 6-8-0 at home against the spread (.429 winning percentage). Away, it is 5-4-0 ATS (.556).
• Mavericks games have gone above the over/under 35.7% of the time at home (five of 14), and 44.4% of the time on the road (four of nine).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points, 6.5 assists and 4.7 rebounds.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 15 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists.
• Chet Holmgren averages 18.4 points, 8 rebounds and 1.8 assists, shooting 56.1% from the field and 36.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 made treys per game.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.4 points, 3 boards and 2.5 assists, shooting 43% from the field and 36% from downtown, with 1.5 made treys per contest.
• Jaylin Williams averages 5.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists, shooting 36.2% from the field and 30.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg averages 17.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.3 assists. He is also draining 47.6% of his shots from the floor.
• The Mavericks get 16 points per game from P.J. Washington, plus 7.8 boards and 2.3 assists.
• The Mavericks get 12.2 points per game from Naji Marshall, plus 5.3 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
• Per game, Max Christie gets the Mavericks 12.1 points, 3.3 boards and 2 assists, plus 0.4 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Brandon Williams averages 10.5 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4 assists. He is making 37.7% of his shots from the floor.

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