Thunder vs. Celtics Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 12

Thunder vs. Celtics Game Info
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Coverage: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder (51-15) will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second in the league scoring 31.7 points per game) when they try to hold off Jaylen Brown (seventh in the NBA with 28.3 PPG) and the Boston Celtics (43-22) on Thursday, March 12, 2026 at Paycom Center. The Thunder are 6-point home favorites in the matchup, which tips at 9:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK. The point total for the matchup is 216.5.
Thunder vs. Celtics Odds & Spread
All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -6 | 216.5 | -260 | +215 |
Thunder vs. Celtics Prediction & Pick
All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (64.4%)
Thunder vs. Celtics Betting Trends
- The Thunder have covered the spread 31 times in 66 games with a set spread.
- In the Celtics' 65 games this season, they have 38 wins against the spread.
- This season, Thunder games have hit the over 36 times out of 65 chances.
- Celtics games this year have hit the over 23 times in 65 opportunities (35.4%).
- Oklahoma City owns a worse record against the spread in home games (15-19-0) than it does on the road (16-15-1).
- In home games, the Thunder go over the over/under 50% of the time (17 of 34 games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, eclipsing the total in 59.4% of games (19 of 32).
- Against the spread, Boston has had better results away (22-11-1) than at home (16-15-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Celtics games have gone over 11 of 31 times at home (35.5%), and 12 of 34 on the road (35.3%).
Thunder Leaders
- Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.7 points, 4.5 rebounds and 6.6 assists.
- Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.3 points, 9 rebounds and 1.8 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 1.9 blocked shots (second in NBA).
- Cason Wallace is averaging 8.8 points, 3.1 boards and 2.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 2 steals (first in NBA) and 0.3 blocked shots.
- Ajay Mitchell is averaging 14.3 points, 3.6 assists and 3.4 boards.
- Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.2 points, 3.5 assists and 9.2 rebounds.
Celtics Leaders
- Per game, Brown provides the Celtics 28.3 points, 7.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.4 blocks.
- The Celtics are getting 17.5 points, 4.4 boards and 5.7 assists per game from Derrick White.
- The Celtics receive 16.9 points per game from Payton Pritchard, plus 4.1 rebounds and 5.4 assists.
- Neemias Queta averages 9.9 points, 8.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists. He is draining 63.6% of his shots from the field (third in league).
- Sam Hauser's numbers on the season are 9.3 points, 3.9 boards and 1.5 assists per contest. He is draining 41.2% of his shots from the floor and 39.1% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.6 triples.
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