Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 12

Thunder vs. Bucks Game Info

• Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (42-13) take on the Milwaukee Bucks (22-30) as heavy, 13.5-point favorites on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK. The point total for the matchup is set at 214.5.

Thunder vs. Bucks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (87.1%)

Thunder vs. Bucks Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 27-27-1 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Bucks are 23-29-0 this year.
• This season, 31 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total out of 52 chances.
• Bucks games this season have hit the over 40.4% of the time (21 out of 52 games with a set point total).
• At home, Oklahoma City sports a worse record against the spread (13-15-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (14-12-1).
• The Thunder have exceeded the total less often when playing at home, hitting the over in 14 of 28 home matchups (50%). On the road, they have hit the over in 17 of 27 games (63%).
• This year, Milwaukee is 11-13-0 at home against the spread (.458 winning percentage). Away, it is 12-16-0 ATS (.429).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Bucks' games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, 12 of 24) than away (32.1%, nine of 28).

Thunder Leaders

• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 17.5 points, 8.6 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 56.3% from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 made 3-pointers.
• Ajay Mitchell's numbers on the season are 14.1 points, 3.5 boards and 3.7 assists per game, shooting 48.7% from the field and 35% from downtown, with an average of 1.1 made treys.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.2 points, 3.1 boards and 2.2 assists, shooting 43% from the floor and 35.1% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 made treys per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.6 points, 9.7 rebounds and 3.6 assists.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 17.5 points, 4.7 rebounds and 5.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Bucks Leaders

• Ryan Rollins averages 16.9 points, 4.6 boards and 5.5 assists. He is also draining 46.3% of his shots from the field and 40.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per contest.
• The Bucks are getting 12.7 points, 5.7 boards and 1.6 assists per game from Myles Turner.
• The Bucks are receiving 13.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Bobby Portis.
• Per game, Kyle Kuzma gives the Bucks 12.9 points, 5 boards and 2.6 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Kevin Porter Jr.'s numbers on the season are 17.5 points, 5.3 boards and 7.6 assists per contest. He is draining 45% of his shots from the floor and 32.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.5 treys.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.