Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 12

Thunder vs. Bucks Game Info

• Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (42-13) are heavy, 13-point favorites against the Milwaukee Bucks (22-30) on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK. The matchup has a point total of 215.5.

Thunder vs. Bucks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (87.1%)

Thunder vs. Bucks Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 27 times in 55 games with a set spread.
• The Bucks have played 52 games, with 23 wins against the spread.
• This season, 31 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total out of 52 chances.
• Bucks games this season have hit the over 40.4% of the time (21 out of 52 games with a set point total).
• In home games, Oklahoma City owns a worse record against the spread (13-15-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (14-12-1).
• In terms of point totals, the Thunder hit the over less often at home, as they've exceeded the total 14 times in 28 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over 17 times in 27 opportunities (63%).
• Milwaukee's winning percentage against the spread at home is .458 (11-13-0). On the road, it is .429 (12-16-0).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Bucks' games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, 12 of 24) than on the road (32.1%, nine of 28).

Thunder Leaders

• Chet Holmgren averages 17.5 points, 8.6 boards and 1.6 assists, shooting 56.3% from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game.
• Ajay Mitchell's numbers on the season are 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game, shooting 48.7% from the floor and 35% from downtown, with an average of 1.1 made treys.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 8.2 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 2.1 steals (first in league) and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 10.6 points, 9.7 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 63.5% from the field.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 17.5 points, 4.7 boards and 5.4 assists per game, shooting 47.9% from the field.

Bucks Leaders

• Ryan Rollins averages 16.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He is also sinking 46.3% of his shots from the field and 40.7% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per game.
• Myles Turner averages 12.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He is also sinking 44.1% of his shots from the field and 38.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 treys per contest.
• Per game, Bobby Portis provides the Bucks 13.1 points, 6.5 boards and 1.6 assists, plus 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• The Bucks are getting 12.9 points, 5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Kyle Kuzma.
• The Bucks get 17.5 points per game from Kevin Porter Jr., plus 5.3 boards and 7.6 assists.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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