Texas vs. LSU Prediction: Picks, Props and Best Bets (Nov. 14)

Texas vs LSU Picks in Summary

• LSU -3.5 (-110)
• Arch Manning Under 217.5 Passing Yards (-114)

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Two SEC heavyweights will square off Saturday, November 14, when Texas travels to Baton Rouge to take on LSU in a matchup with significant College Football Playoff implications.

Texas enters at 7-2, having won three straight games, while LSU is 6-3 following a disappointing 31-13 loss to Alabama. Despite the Tigers' recent setback, their impressive defensive front and home-field advantage could make life difficult for Arch Manning and the Longhorns.

Using the college football odds at FanDuel Sportsbook as a guide, let's break down two of the best bets for LSU vs. Texas.

All college football odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Texas vs LSU Picks and Prediction

LSU -3.5 (-110)

Texas vs. LSU — 7:30 p.m. ET

LSU has been one of the nation’s most productive offensive teams this season, averaging 504.1 total yards per game, the sixth-most in the FBS. The Tigers are generating 324.8 passing yards and 179.3 rushing yards per contest, giving them the balance necessary to challenge even elite defenses.

Defensively, the Tigers are allowing just 261.2 total yards and 17.7 points per game. They have been especially dominant against the run, surrendering only 84.8 rushing yards per contest, the seventh-fewest nationally.

In short, despite their record, LSU’s underlying numbers are those of an elite team.

The Tigers have an encouraging matchup against a Texas offense averaging just 130.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 105th in the FBS. The Longhorns have also struggled with offensive consistency, generating only 363.1 total yards per contest.

LSU’s pass rush gives the Tigers another advantage. They have accumulated 36 sacks through nine games while Texas quarterback Arch Manning has been sacked 27 times. If LSU consistently pressures Manning and prevents the Longhorns from establishing the run, it can dictate the game’s tempo.

Texas deserves respect defensively as they are allowing only 280.1 total yards and 17.4 points per game. Still, LSU’s offensive firepower, disruptive defensive front and home-field advantage make the Tigers the side of the spread I want to be on.

Arch Manning Under 217.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Texas vs. LSU — 7:30 p.m. ET

Arch Manning has played some of his best football recently, throwing for 517 yards, six touchdowns and no interceptions over his last two games. But Saturday’s matchup against LSU presents a difficult challenge.

The Tigers are surrendering only 176.4 passing yards per game, ranking 17th nationally. They have also registered 36 sacks through nine games, creating a difficult environment for opposing quarterbacks.

That is significant for Manning, who has already been sacked 27 times this season. LSU’s pass rush, led by Princewill Umanmielen (8.5 sacks), could disrupt the Longhorns’ downfield passing game.

Manning has thrown for fewer than 218 yards in five of his nine games this season, including two of his last four outings. He is averaging approximately 224.9 passing yards per game, putting this line close to his season-long production.

Texas may also struggle to sustain drives against an LSU defense allowing opponents to convert only 30.4% of third downs. That could limit Manning’s opportunities to accumulate passing yards, particularly if the Tigers create negative plays with their pass rush.

Manning’s recent improvement is a legitimate concern, but LSU’s ability to generate pressure and limit passing production makes this an appealing matchup-based play.

College Football Betting FAQ

What are the most common college football bets?

The most common college football bets are the point spread, moneyline, and game total. Bettors can also wager on player props, team totals, alternate spreads, and futures such as conference champions or the national championship winner.

How does the point spread work in college football betting?

The point spread gives one team a handicap to create a more even betting market. If a team is listed at -7.5, it must win by at least eight points for a spread bet on that team to cash. A team listed at +7.5 can lose by seven points or fewer — or win outright — and still cover the spread.

What does over/under mean in college football?

An over/under, also called a game total, is a wager on the combined number of points scored by both teams. Bettors can choose whether the final score will finish over or under the sportsbook's posted total.

What should you consider before betting on college football?

Matchups, quarterback play, offensive and defensive efficiency, injuries, pace, home-field advantage, and coaching tendencies can all be important.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.