Tennessee vs Alabama College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 28

The Tennessee Volunteers (20-8, 10-5 SEC) will attempt to continue a four-game home winning streak when they square off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (21-7, 11-4 SEC) on February 28, 2026 at Thompson-Boling Arena.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Tennessee vs. Alabama Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 28, 2026
• Game time: 6 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Arena: Thompson-Boling Arena

Tennessee vs. Alabama Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tennessee win (69.7%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Saturday's Tennessee-Alabama spread (Tennessee -4.5) or over/under (163.5 points).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Tennessee vs. Alabama: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Tennessee has put together a 13-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• Alabama has put together a 12-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Tennessee covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Alabama covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (33.3%).
• When playing at home, the Volunteers have a better record against the spread (8-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (3-6-0).
• The Crimson Tide's winning percentage against the spread at home is .357 (5-9-0). On the road, it is .500 (4-4-0).
• Tennessee has covered the spread seven times in 15 conference games.
• Alabama has covered the spread six times in 15 SEC games.

Tennessee vs. Alabama: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Tennessee has won in 13, or 72.2%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Volunteers have come away with a win 11 times in 14 chances when named as a favorite of at least -220 or better on the moneyline.
• Alabama has compiled a 3-4 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.9% of those games).
• The Crimson Tide have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Tennessee has a 68.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Tennessee vs. Alabama Head-to-Head Comparison

• Tennessee averages 80.5 points per game (78th in college basketball) while giving up 69.1 per outing (63rd in college basketball). It has a +317 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 11.4 points per game.
• Ja'Kobi Gillespie is 87th in college basketball with a team-leading 18.1 points per game.
• Alabama puts up 92.9 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 83.6 per contest (356th in college basketball). It has a +261 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 9.3 points per game.
• Labaron Philon is ranked 14th in college basketball with a team-leading 21.3 points per game.
• The 39.9 rebounds per game the Volunteers average rank third in college basketball, and are 14 more than the 25.9 their opponents record per contest.
• Nate Ament paces the team with 6.5 rebounds per game (221st in college basketball play).
• The Crimson Tide are seventh in college basketball at 37.8 rebounds per game. That's 1.6 more than the 36.2 their opponents average.
• Amari Allen paces the team with 7.5 rebounds per game (105th in college basketball).
• Tennessee averages 101.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (90th in college basketball), and allows 87.1 points per 100 possessions (29th in college basketball).
• The Crimson Tide score 107 points per 100 possessions (23rd in college basketball), while giving up 96.3 points per 100 possessions (220th in college basketball).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!