Tennessee State vs UT Martin College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for OVC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Tennessee State Tigers (21-9, 15-5 OVC) take on the No. 4 seed UT Martin Skyhawks (22-10, 13-7 OVC) in the OVC tournament Friday at Ford Center, beginning at 8 p.m. ET. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Tennessee State vs. UT Martin Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPNU
- Location: Evansville, Indiana
- Arena: Ford Center
Tennessee State vs. UT Martin Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tennessee State win (57.9%)
See these betting insights and trends before you wager on Friday's Tennessee State-UT Martin spread (Tennessee State -2.5) or total (142.5 points).
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Tennessee State vs. UT Martin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Tennessee State has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
- UT Martin has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
- Tennessee State (6-7) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (46.2%) than UT Martin (4-3) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (57.1%).
- The Tigers have a worse record against the spread at home (5-5-0) than they do in road games (10-6-0).
- The Skyhawks have been better against the spread on the road (10-4-0) than at home (5-7-0) this year.
- Tennessee State has beaten the spread 11 times in 20 conference games.
- UT Martin has 10 wins against the spread in 21 OVC games this season.
Tennessee State vs. UT Martin: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Tennessee State has come away with 11 wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- The Tigers have a win-loss record of 10-3 when favored by -144 or better by sportsbooks this year.
- UT Martin has a 2-5 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 28.6% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +118 or longer, the Skyhawks have a 2-4 record (winning just 33.3% of their games).
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Tennessee State has a 59% chance of walking away with the win.
Tennessee State vs. UT Martin Head-to-Head Comparison
- With 78.1 points scored per game and 73.3 points allowed last year, Tennessee State was 73rd in college basketball offensively and 219th defensively.
- Last season, Tennessee State was sixth-best in the country in rebounds (37.5 per game) and 164th in rebounds conceded (30.9).
- Tennessee State was 203rd in college basketball in assists (13.3 per game) last season.
- In terms of turnovers, Tennessee State was second-worst in college basketball in committing them (14.5 per game) last season. And it was ranked 93rd in forcing them (12.2 per game).
- Offensively, UT Martin averaged 74.4 points per game (155th-ranked in college basketball) last season. It surrendered 71.9 points per contest at the other end of the court (176th-ranked).
- UT Martin was top-25 last season in rebounding, ranking 19th-best in college basketball with 35.9 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 217th with 31.8 rebounds allowed per contest.
- UT Martin put up 13.5 assists per game, which ranked them 184th in the country.
- Last season UT Martin committed 12.2 turnovers per game (277th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 12.2 turnovers per contest (93rd-ranked).
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