Southeast Missouri State vs Morehead State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for OVC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (20-12, 14-6 OVC) take on the No. 2 seed Morehead State Eagles (19-12, 15-5 OVC) in the OVC tournament Friday at Ford Center, beginning at 10:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Game time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Evansville, Indiana
• Arena: Ford Center

Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Southeast Missouri State win (59.1%)

To help you make an informed wager on Southeast Missouri State-Morehead State matchup (in which Southeast Missouri State is a 2.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 139.5 points), keep reading for some betting insights and trends for Friday's game.

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Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Southeast Missouri State has compiled a 14-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Morehead State has won 17 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Southeast Missouri State covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 44.4% of the time. That's less often than Morehead State covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (46.7%).
• In home games, the Redhawks sport a worse record against the spread (5-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (8-7-0).
• The Eagles have been better against the spread at home (7-3-0) than away (10-7-0) this year.
• Southeast Missouri State has beaten the spread 11 times in 21 conference games.
• Morehead State has 15 wins against the spread in 20 OVC games this year.

Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Southeast Missouri State has been victorious in 13, or 65%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Redhawks have a win-loss record of 10-6 when favored by -144 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Morehead State has won 41.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (7-10).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Eagles have a 4-10 record (winning just 28.6% of their games).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Southeast Missouri State has a 59% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Offensively, Southeast Missouri State was the 167th-ranked squad in the country (74.0 points per game) last year. On defense, it was 42nd (67.0 points conceded per game).
• Last year, Southeast Missouri State was 207th in college basketball in rebounds (31.4 per game) and 247th in rebounds conceded (32.2).
• At 13.6 assists per game last season, Southeast Missouri State was 174th in college basketball.
• Last season, Southeast Missouri State was 87th in the nation in turnovers committed (10.2 per game) and 50th in turnovers forced (13.0).
• Morehead State averaged just 66.1 points per game (14th-worst in college basketball) last year, but it played better at the other end of the court, where it surrendered 68.7 points per game (74th-ranked).
• Morehead State was 96th in the nation with 33.3 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 70th with 29.5 rebounds allowed per game.
• Morehead State averaged 11.5 dimes per game, which ranked them 319th in college basketball.
• Morehead State, who was 135th in college basketball with 10.7 turnovers per game, forced 9.5 turnovers per contest, which was 25th-worst in college basketball.

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