Southeast Missouri State vs Morehead State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for OVC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Morehead State Eagles (19-12, 15-5 OVC) will square off in the OVC tournament against the No. 3 seed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (20-12, 14-6 OVC) on Friday at Ford Center, starting at 10:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Game time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Evansville, Indiana
• Arena: Ford Center

Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Southeast Missouri State win (59.1%)

Before you wager on Friday's Southeast Missouri State-Morehead State spread (Southeast Missouri State -2.5) or over/under (141.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Southeast Missouri State has compiled a 14-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Morehead State has won 17 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Southeast Missouri State covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 44.4% of the time. That's less often than Morehead State covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (46.7%).
• The Redhawks have a worse record against the spread at home (5-7-0) than they do in road games (8-7-0).
• The Eagles' winning percentage against the spread at home is .700 (7-3-0). On the road, it is .588 (10-7-0).
• Southeast Missouri State is 11-10-0 against the spread in conference play this season.
• Morehead State has covered the spread 15 times in 20 OVC games.

Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Southeast Missouri State has been victorious in 13, or 65%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Redhawks have come away with a win 11 times in 17 chances when named as a favorite of at least -137 or better on the moneyline.
• Morehead State is 7-10 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.2% of those games).
• The Eagles are 4-10 (winning just 28.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
• Southeast Missouri State has an implied victory probability of 57.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Southeast Missouri State outscores opponents by 4.2 points per game (scoring 75 per game to rank 205th in college basketball while giving up 70.8 per outing to rank 97th in college basketball) and has a +134 scoring differential overall.
• Luke Almodovar paces Southeast Missouri State, averaging 14.1 points per game (390th in the nation).
• Morehead State has a +39 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.2 points per game. It is putting up 75.8 points per game, 180th in college basketball, and is giving up 74.6 per outing to rank 208th in college basketball.
• Morehead State's leading scorer, George Marshall, is 461st in college basketball, putting up 13.6 points per game.
• The Redhawks come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.2 boards. They are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game (193rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.6 per outing.
• Brendan Terry's 5.3 rebounds per game lead the Redhawks and rank 481st in college basketball play.
• The Eagles come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. They are collecting 33.2 rebounds per game (109th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.1.
• Jon Carroll averages 7.7 rebounds per game (93rd in college basketball) to lead the Eagles.
• Southeast Missouri State ranks 215th in college basketball with 96.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 76th in college basketball defensively with 91 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Eagles score 97 points per 100 possessions (198th in college basketball), while allowing 95.4 points per 100 possessions (185th in college basketball).

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