MLB

Subway Series Betting Specials: Best Bets for Yankees vs. Mets

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33

The annual Subway Series is back. The New York Mets will host the New York Yankees for a two-game series before moving things over to the Bronx later this summer.

The Yankees have enjoyed ample success this year, proving that big offseason moves pay off. They come in with a 52-28 record (second-best in AL), and while Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) has recently hit the IL and is expected to be out for four weeks, Gerrit Cole (2023 AL Cy Young winner) is on the mend and will make his second start of the season tonight.

Things haven't looked as pretty over in Queens. The Mets enter today with a 37-39 record. The Philadelphia Phillies have made any NL East hopes seem out of reach, but the Mets can still make a solid run at a Wild Card spot and have won 9 of their last 11 games.

Over on FanDuel Sportsbook, you can find Subway Series Specials for this two-game series, including series props and player props. This market can serve as a fun way to get in on the action, so let's dive into some of the most intriguing options.

Subway Series Best Bets

Yankees vs. Mets Series Tie (-105)

The Yankees are favored in both games of this series, but I like the Mets to take one of these games at Citi Field.

Let's start by checking out tonight's matchup. Cole will be on the bump for the Yankees and will likely operate under a pitch limit. Last week, he started his first game of the season and allowed three runs, two earned runs, and four baserunners through four innings (62 pitches).

I wouldn't expect Cole to leave this game without giving up something. On one hand, we could see him run into some trouble due to not being 100%. On the other hand -- and more importantly -- the Mets have been raking as of late, especially against righties.

In the last month of play, the Mets rank 3rd in average, 3rd in wOBA, 2nd in SLG, 2nd in wRC+, and 3rd in ISO against right-handed pitchers.

Since we know Cole is not in this one for the long haul, the Yankees will likely call on their bullpen early. Their 'pen is producing a 4.25 xFIP (22nd) and 3.89 SIERA (23rd), so a reliance on it could be rife for conflict against a red-hot Mets offense.

With Stanton out, Mets starters David Peterson and Sean Manaea -- both of whom are southpaws -- will have one less righty monster to deal with this series. The Yankees will have the arm advantage tomorrow when Luis Gil (2.77 ERA, 3.03 xERA, 29.3% K%) takes the mound, but the Mets have a reliable bullpen to lean back on, one that sports a 3.73 xFIP (4th) and 3.39 SIERA (3rd).

The Mets have +122 moneyline odds for tonight's game. I see a path to victory this evening, but with -105 odds available on them to grab just one of these two games, it seems apt to target a series tie.

Juan Soto to Have 3+ Hits (+170)

Juan Soto has not been a Yankee for long, but he's already earning his pinstripes.

He is near the top of the league in many marks, including 3rd in OPS, 7th in RBIs, 8th in batting average, and 10th in home runs.

Across these next two days, the Mets will send out a pair of lefties in Peterson and Manaea, and Soto is the best bet to record a hit against this handedness.

He is generating a .312 BA, .506 SLG, 168 wRC+, and a 41.5% hard-hit rate versus left-handed pitchers. Same-handed matchups haven't always been beneficial for Soto, but he is the only Yankee to own a .285 average or higher against lefties in 2024.

While Soto generates more power versus righties, he's batting at a higher clip against lefties. He also walks and strikes out at a lower rate against lefties, mitigating some potential risk for an underwhelming at-bat.

Dating back to last season, Peterson owns a 5.01 ERA versus lefties and has allowed them a .287 average, .442 SLG, and 1.39 HR/9. Manaea has faced 59 left-handed batters this season, surrendering a .302 average and .528 SLG in the split.

Soto has been special this season, so I'll back him to record a trio of hits across these next two games.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.