Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 4

Spurs vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSOK, and FDSSW

The Oklahoma City Thunder (40-11) are favored by 1.5 points when they visit the San Antonio Spurs (33-16) in a battle between the top-ranked teams in the Western at Frost Bank Center on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSOK, and FDSSW. The matchup has a point total of 222.5.

Spurs vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (54.9%)

Spurs vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a 25-26-0 record against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Spurs are 24-22-3 this season.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 27 times out of 49 chances this season.
• Spurs games this season have hit the over 34.7% of the time (17 out of 49 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City owns a worse record against the spread at home (13-14-0) than it does in road games (12-12-0).
• In home games, the Thunder exceed the total 48.1% of the time (13 of 27 games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, eclipsing the total in 58.3% of games (14 of 24).
• This season, San Antonio is 11-10-2 at home against the spread (.478 winning percentage). Away, it is 13-12-1 ATS (.500).
• In terms of the over/under, Spurs games have finished over eight of 23 times at home (34.8%), and nine of 26 on the road (34.6%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points, 4.4 boards and 6.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.7 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 2 blocked shots (third in NBA).
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.1 points, 3.5 boards and 3.7 assists, shooting 48.7% from the floor and 35% from downtown, with 1.1 made treys per contest.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 7.8 points, 3 boards and 2 assists.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11 points, 3.1 assists and 10 boards.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 24.1 points for the Spurs, plus 11 boards and 2.7 assists.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 19.8 points, 4.1 boards and 6.2 assists. He is also sinking 47.9% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per game.
• Stephon Castle averages 16.6 points, 5 boards and 7 assists. He is making 45.1% of his shots from the floor and 28.4% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per contest.
• Keldon Johnson averages 13.4 points, 6 boards and 1.4 assists. He is sinking 55% of his shots from the floor and 38.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 triples per contest.
• The Spurs get 11.6 points per game from Julian Champagnie, plus 6.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists.

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