SMU vs Miami (FL) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 4

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The SMU Mustangs (19-10, 8-8 ACC) will host the Miami Hurricanes (23-6, 12-4 ACC) after winning three straight home games.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

SMU vs. Miami (FL) Game Info and Odds

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: SMU win (59.8%)

Before placing a bet on Wednesday's SMU-Miami (FL) spread (SMU -1.5) or total (159.5 points), see the betting insights and trends below.

SMU has covered 13 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
Miami (FL) is 16-13-0 ATS this season.
As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Miami (FL) is 5-3 against the spread compared to the 7-10 ATS record SMU racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
The Mustangs have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (8-9-0) than they have in road games (4-6-0).
The Hurricanes have performed better against the spread on the road (7-2-0) than at home (8-9-0) this season.
SMU has seven wins against the spread in 16 conference games this year.
Miami (FL) has beaten the spread eight times in 16 ACC games.

SMU has been the moneyline favorite in 17 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (88.2%) in those contests.
This season, the Mustangs have come away with a win 13 times in 15 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or shorter on the moneyline.
Miami (FL) has won 50% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (4-4).
The Hurricanes are 2-4 (winning just 33.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +108 or longer.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that SMU has a 56.5% chance of pulling out a win.

At 79.9 points scored per game and 71.3 points conceded last year, SMU was 40th in the country offensively and 152nd defensively.
SMU was 43rd in the nation in rebounds per game (34.7) and 53rd in rebounds allowed (29) last year.
SMU was 42nd in the country in assists (15.9 per game) last season.
With 11.5 turnovers committed per game and 12 turnovers forced last year, SMU was 221st and 112th in college basketball, respectively.
Miami (FL) ranked 167th in the nation with 74 points per game last season, but on defense it struggled, ceding 80.6 points per game (eighth-worst in college basketball).
With 29.2 rebounds per game, Miami (FL) ranked 325th in the nation. It gave up 30.5 rebounds per contest, which ranked 135th in college basketball.
Last year Miami (FL) ranked 227th in college basketball in assists, putting up 12.9 per game.
With 10.2 turnovers per game, Miami (FL) ranked 87th in the country. It forced 9.9 turnovers per contest, which ranked 312th in college basketball.

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