Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Toyota Center -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA

The Houston Rockets (38-22) are favored by 9.5 points against the Golden State Warriors (31-30) on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA. The matchup has an over/under set at 214.5 points.

Rockets vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rockets win (70.5%)

Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Rockets have gone 27-33-0 against the spread this season.
• In the Warriors' 61 games this year, they have 26 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Rockets have hit the over 26 times out of 61 chances this season.
• Warriors games this year have eclipsed the over/under 35 times in 61 opportunities (57.4%).
• Houston has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (17-16-0) than it has in home games (10-17-0).
• The Rockets have gone over the over/under in nine of 27 home games (33.3%). They've fared better in away games, eclipsing the total in 17 of 33 matchups (51.5%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Golden State has a better winning percentage at home (.438, 14-17-1 record) than away (.414, 12-17-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Warriors games have finished over 20 of 32 times at home (62.5%), and 15 of 29 on the road (51.7%).

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant is averaging 26.3 points, 5.4 boards and 4.5 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Alperen Sengun averages 20.5 points, 9.2 boards and 6.3 assists, shooting 50.1% from the field.
• Amen Thompson is averaging 17.4 points, 5.2 assists and 7.7 boards.
• Jabari Smith Jr. is averaging 15.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• Reed Sheppard's numbers on the season are 13.2 points, 2.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game, shooting 43% from the field and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.6 made treys.

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski averages 12.4 points, 5.1 boards and 3.7 assists. He is also sinking 44.7% of his shots from the field and 36.2% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per contest.
• The Warriors are getting 8.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game from Draymond Green.
• The Warriors are receiving 7.6 points, 4.1 boards and 1.4 assists per game from Quinten Post.
• Per game, Al Horford gives the Warriors 8.2 points, 5 rebounds and 2.5 assists, plus 0.7 steals and 1.1 blocks.
• Per game, Gui Santos gets the Warriors 6.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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