Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Toyota Center -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA

The Houston Rockets (38-22) are favored by 9.5 points against the Golden State Warriors (31-30) on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA. The matchup has an over/under set at 215.5 points.

Rockets vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rockets win (70.3%)

Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Rockets are 27-33-0 against the spread this season.
• The Warriors have 26 wins against the spread in 61 games this season.
• This season, Rockets games have hit the over 26 times out of 61 chances.
• Warriors games this season have hit the over 57.4% of the time (35 out of 61 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, Houston has performed worse at home, covering 10 times in 27 home games, and 17 times in 33 road games.
• When it comes to over/unders, the Rockets hit the over less consistently at home, as they've gone over the total nine times in 27 opportunities this season (33.3%). In road games, they have hit the over 17 times in 33 opportunities (51.5%).
• Golden State's winning percentage against the spread at home is .438 (14-17-1). Away, it is .414 (12-17-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Warriors games have finished over 20 of 32 times at home (62.5%), and 15 of 29 away (51.7%).

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant averages 26.3 points, 5.4 boards and 4.5 assists, shooting 51% from the floor and 40.1% from downtown, with 2.4 made treys per game.
• Alperen Sengun averages 20.5 points, 9.2 boards and 6.3 assists, shooting 50.1% from the floor.
• Amen Thompson averages 17.4 points, 7.7 boards and 5.2 assists, shooting 51.1% from the field.
• Reed Sheppard is averaging 13.2 points, 2.7 boards and 3.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals (eighth in NBA) and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Tari Eason is averaging 11.4 points, 1.7 assists and 6.3 rebounds.

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski averages 12.4 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists. He is also draining 44.7% of his shots from the field and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per contest.
• The Warriors get 8.4 points per game from Draymond Green, plus 5.6 boards and 5.2 assists.
• Quinten Post's numbers on the season are 7.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. He is making 43.8% of his shots from the floor and 33.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.4 triples.
• Al Horford averages 8.2 points, 5 rebounds and 2.5 assists. He is draining 43.5% of his shots from the field and 36.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 treys per game.
• Gui Santos averages 6.7 points, 3.4 boards and 1.7 assists. He is making 52% of his shots from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with 1 treys per game.

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