Rays vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 1

Odds updated as of 1:11 a.m.
The Thursday schedule in MLB includes a matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Kansas City Royals.
Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Rays vs Royals Game Info
- Tampa Bay Rays (14-16) vs. Kansas City Royals (16-15)
- Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
- Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field -- Tampa, Florida
- Coverage: FDSSUN and FDSKC
Rays vs Royals Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: TB: (-154) | KC: (+130)
- Spread: TB: -1.5 (+142) | KC: +1.5 (-172)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-100) | Under: (-122)
Rays vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Shane Baz (Rays) - 3-0, 2.45 ERA vs Seth Lugo (Royals) - 2-3, 3.08 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Rays will send Shane Baz (3-0) to the mound, while Seth Lugo (2-3) will get the nod for the Royals. Baz's team is 4-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Baz's team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-1). The Royals are 3-3-0 ATS in Lugo's six starts that had a set spread. The Royals have been the moneyline underdog in five of Lugo's starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
Rays vs Royals Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (51.3%)
Rays vs Royals Moneyline
- The Rays vs Royals moneyline has Tampa Bay as a -154 favorite, while Kansas City is a +130 underdog on the road.
Rays vs Royals Spread
- The Rays are hosting the Royals and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Rays are +142 to cover the runline, with the Royals being -172.
Rays vs Royals Over/Under
- The over/under for Rays-Royals on May 1 is 8.5. The over is -100, and the under is -122.
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Rays vs Royals Betting Trends
- The Rays have been victorious in nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- This season Tampa Bay has been victorious four times in eight chances when named as a favorite of at least -154 on the moneyline.
- The Rays and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of their 30 opportunities.
- The Rays have an against the spread record of 13-17-0 in 30 games with a line this season.
- The Royals have gone 7-11 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.9% of those games).
- Kansas City has a record of 3-2 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer (60%).
- The Royals have played in 31 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-20-1).
- The Royals have a 15-16-0 record ATS this season (covering 48.4% of the time).
Rays Player Leaders
- Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay in slugging percentage (.393) thanks to 11 extra-base hits. He has a .254 batting average and an on-base percentage of .301.
- Among qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 73rd, his on-base percentage ranks 107th, and he is 95th in slugging.
- Diaz hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
- Junior Caminero is hitting .257 with six doubles, six home runs and six walks. He's slugging .469 with an on-base percentage of .292.
- Among qualifying hitters, he is 72nd in batting average, 120th in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging percentage.
- Jonathan Aranda has 26 hits and an OBP of .398, both of which lead the Rays this season.
- Kameron Misner has three home runs, 11 RBI and a batting average of .320 this season.
Royals Player Leaders
- Bobby Witt Jr. has a team-high OBP (.388) and slugging percentage (.475), while pacing the Royals in hits (38, while batting .322).
- Including all qualified hitters in MLB, he ranks 11th in batting average, 21st in on-base percentage and 40th in slugging percentage.
- Witt enters this matchup on a 21-game hitting streak. In his last 10 games he is hitting .342 with three doubles, three walks and four RBI.
- Maikel Garcia has eight doubles, two home runs and 10 walks while batting .282. He's slugging .417 with an on-base percentage of .342.
- Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 35th in batting average, 57th in on-base percentage and 72nd in slugging percentage.
- Salvador Perez has 10 doubles, two home runs and seven walks while batting .235.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has three doubles, a triple, four home runs and nine walks while hitting .177.
Rays vs Royals Head to Head
- 4/30/2025: 3-0 KC (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
- 4/29/2025: 3-1 KC (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
- 7/4/2024: 10-8 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 7/3/2024: 4-2 KC (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 7/2/2024: 5-1 TB (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 5/26/2024: 4-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 5/25/2024: 7-4 KC (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 5/24/2024: 8-1 KC (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 7/15/2023: 4-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
- 7/15/2023: 6-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
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