Providence vs Butler College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 8 seed Butler Bulldogs (16-15, 7-13 Big East) will square off in the Big East tournament against the No. 9 seed Providence Friars (14-17, 7-13 Big East) on Wednesday at Madison Square Garden, beginning at 4 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Providence vs. Butler Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

Providence vs. Butler Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Butler win (50.3%)

Before making a wager on Wednesday's Providence-Butler spread (Providence -1.5) or over/under (162.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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Providence vs. Butler: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Providence has compiled a 17-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Butler has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Butler is 8-6 against the spread compared to the 8-7 ATS record Providence racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• The Friars have done a better job covering the spread on the road (7-4-0) than they have in home games (9-7-0).
• The Bulldogs' winning percentage against the spread at home is .529 (9-8-0). On the road, it is .545 (6-5-0).
• Providence's record against the spread in conference games is 12-8-0.
• Butler's Big East record against the spread is 9-11-0.

Providence vs. Butler: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Providence has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (71.4%) in those contests.
• The Friars have a win-loss record of 10-4 when favored by -125 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Butler has a 4-10 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 28.6% of those games).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +104 or longer, the Bulldogs have gone 4-10 (28.6%).
• Providence has an implied victory probability of 55.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Providence vs. Butler Head-to-Head Comparison

• With 71.3 points scored per game and 72.5 points allowed last year, Providence was 249th in the nation on offense and 195th on defense.
• At 33.6 rebounds per game and 29.7 rebounds allowed, Providence was 75th and 82nd in college basketball, respectively, last year.
• With 12.9 assists per game last year, Providence was 227th in college basketball.
• Last year, Providence was 246th in the nation in turnovers committed (11.8 per game) and 10th-worst in turnovers forced (8.8).
• Last year Butler put up 74.7 points per game (147th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendered 74.9 points per contest (267th-ranked).
• Last year Butler averaged 31.7 rebounds per game (188th-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 32 rebounds per contest (233rd-ranked).
• Last year Butler ranked 148th in college basketball in assists, averaging 13.9 per game.
• Butler ranked 108th in the nation at 10.4 turnovers per contest, but it forced 7.5 turnovers per game, which ranked -3-worst in college basketball.

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