Portland vs Pepperdine College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for WCC Tournament

The No. 9 seed Portland Pilots (13-18, 6-12 WCC) will square off against the No. 12 seed Pepperdine Waves (9-22, 4-14 WCC) in the WCC tournament Thursday at Orleans Arena, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Portland vs. Pepperdine Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Paradise, Nevada
• Arena: Orleans Arena

Portland vs. Pepperdine Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Portland win (60.3%)

To help you make an informed wager on Portland-Pepperdine contest (in which Portland is a 3.5-point favorite and the total is set at 154.5 points), here are a few betting insights and trends for Thursday's game.

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Portland vs. Pepperdine: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Portland has put together a 14-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• Pepperdine has put together a 13-16-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Portland covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 60% of the time. That's more often than Pepperdine covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (50%).
• At home, the Pilots own a better record against the spread (11-5-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (3-10-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Waves have a lower winning percentage at home (.333, 5-10-0 record) than on the road (.615, 8-5-0).
• Portland has covered the spread 10 times in 18 conference games.
• Against the spread in WCC action, Pepperdine is 8-10-0 this year.

Portland vs. Pepperdine: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Portland has been victorious in six of the eight contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Pilots have a mark of 4-1 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -156 or better on the moneyline.
• Pepperdine has won six of the 25 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (24%).
• The Waves are 3-14 (winning only 17.6% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
• Portland has an implied victory probability of 60.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Portland vs. Pepperdine Head-to-Head Comparison

• Portland averages 74.6 points per game (215th in college basketball) while giving up 79.1 per contest (314th in college basketball). It has a -137 scoring differential overall and has been outscored by 4.5 points per game.
• Portland's leading scorer, Joel Foxwell, ranks 240th in college basketball putting up 15.7 points per game.
• Pepperdine has been outscored by 7.2 points per game (posting 72.4 points per game, 269th in college basketball, while giving up 79.6 per contest, 322nd in college basketball) and has a -225 scoring differential.
• Aaron Clark is ranked 252nd in the country with a team-leading 15.5 points per game.
• The 30.5 rebounds per game the Pilots average rank 261st in the country. Their opponents record 30.3 per outing.
• Cameron Williams is 593rd in college basketball play with five rebounds per game to lead the Pilots.
• The 29.9 rebounds per game the Waves accumulate rank 289th in college basketball, three fewer than the 32.9 their opponents pull down.
• Styles Phipps tops the Waves with 5.9 rebounds per game (302nd in college basketball).
• Portland averages 94.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (259th in college basketball), and allows 99.7 points per 100 possessions (305th in college basketball).
• The Waves rank 317th in college basketball with 91.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 316th defensively with 100.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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