Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 11

Pelicans vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Smoothie King Center -- New Orleans, Louisiana
• Coverage: FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, and Pelicans+

The New Orleans Pelicans (15-40) hit the court against the Miami Heat (28-27) as just 1.5-point favorites on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, and Pelicans+. The matchup's over/under is set at 231.5.

Pelicans vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (63.8%)

Pelicans vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Pelicans are 30-24-1 against the spread this season.
• In the Heat's 55 games this season, they have 31 wins against the spread.
• This season, 27 of the Pelicans' games have gone over the point total.
• The Heat have eclipsed the over/under 50.9% of the time this season (28 of 55 games with a set point total).
• New Orleans has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 17 times in 28 opportunities at home, and it has covered 13 times in 27 opportunities on the road.
• At home, the Pelicans exceed the over/under 53.6% of the time (15 of 28 games). They've hit the over in 44.4% of games on the road (12 of 27 contests).
• Miami has been better against the spread on the road (17-10-1) than at home (14-13-0) this season.
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Heat's games have finished above the over/under at home (51.9%, 14 of 27) compared to away (50%, 14 of 28).

Pelicans Leaders

• Trey Murphy III averages 22.2 points, 5.7 boards and 3.8 assists.
• Derik Queen is averaging 12.2 points, 4.2 assists and 7.3 rebounds.
• Zion Williamson averages 21.5 points, 6.2 boards and 3.5 assists.
• Saddiq Bey's numbers on the season are 16.6 points, 5.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, shooting 45% from the floor and 34.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.9 made treys.
• Jeremiah Fears' numbers on the season are 13.2 points, 3.6 boards and 3 assists per game, shooting 43.1% from the floor and 32.8% from downtown, with an average of 1.1 made 3-pointers.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo's numbers on the season are 18.3 points, 9.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He is also draining 44.6% of his shots from the field and 34.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.6 triples.
• Andrew Wiggins' numbers on the season are 15.9 points, 5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He is sinking 47.1% of his shots from the field and 39.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 2 treys.
• The Heat receive 15.1 points per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr., plus 5.4 boards and 4.7 assists.
• Kel'el Ware averages 11.2 points, 9.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists. He is sinking 53.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per contest.
• Davion Mitchell averages 9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 7.1 assists. He is draining 47.3% of his shots from the field and 40.5% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per contest.

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