Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 11

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 9 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: ALT and FDSSE

The Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) are heavy underdogs (by 14 points) to stop a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (34-20) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 236.5 points.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nuggets win (73.3%)

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

• The Nuggets are 31-23-0 against the spread this season.
• The Grizzlies have 23 wins against the spread in 52 games this year.
• This season, 34 of the Nuggets' games have gone over the point total out of 52 chances.
• Grizzlies games this year have eclipsed the over/under 25 times in 52 opportunities (48.1%).
• At home, Denver owns a worse record against the spread (12-13-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (19-10-0).
• The Nuggets have gone over the total in 15 of 25 home games (60%). They've fared better in away games, topping the total in 19 of 29 matchups (65.5%).
• Against the spread, Memphis has had better results on the road (12-13-1) than at home (11-15-0).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Grizzlies' games have finished above the over/under at home (53.8%, 14 of 26) than on the road (42.3%, 11 of 26).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.8 points, 12.2 boards and 10.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Jamal Murray is averaging 25.8 points, 7.6 assists and 4.3 rebounds.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 14 points, 2.6 boards and 1.3 assists.
• Bruce Brown is averaging 7.5 points, 4 boards and 2.1 assists.
• Jonas Valanciunas is averaging 9.1 points, 1.3 assists and 5.2 boards.

Grizzlies Leaders

• Cedric Coward averages 13.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists. He is also draining 46.8% of his shots from the field and 34% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per game.
• Santi Aldama averages 14 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists. He is also draining 47.9% of his shots from the floor and 35% from 3-point range, with 1.6 treys per game.
• The Grizzlies receive 11.8 points per game from Cam Spencer, plus 2.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists.
• The Grizzlies are getting 12 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Jaylen Wells.
• The Grizzlies receive 8.5 points per game from Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, plus 2.4 boards and 2.7 assists.

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