Patrick Mahomes Fantasy Football Week 1: Stats and Projections vs. Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes will take on the team with last year's seventh-ranked pass defense, the Denver Broncos (187.2 yards conceded per game), in Week 1 -- kicking off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday.

With Mahomes' next game against the Broncos, should you think about him for your daily fantasy roster? See below for more stats and info.

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Patrick Mahomes Week 1 Fantasy Football Projection

• Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
• Game Date: September 14, 2026
• Game Time: 8:15 p.m.
• Projected Fantasy Points: 13.6
• Projected Passing Yards: 218.16
• Projected Passing TDs: 1.51
• Projected Rushing Yards: 1.38
• Projected Rushing TDs: 0.01

Projections provided by numberFire

Mahomes 2025 Fantasy Performance

• Mahomes was 11th at his position, and 15th overall, with 284.7 fantasy points (20.3 per game) last season.
• In Week 6 last year against the Detroit Lions, Mahomes posted a season-best 31.5 fantasy points, with these numbers: 22-of-30 (73.3%), 257 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs; 10 carries, 32 yards, 1 TD.
• In his second-best game of the year -- Week 13 against the Dallas Cowboys -- Mahomes finished with 29.4 fantasy points. His stat line: 23-of-34 (67.6%), 261 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INTs; 3 carries, 30 yards.
• In his worst game of the season, Mahomes ended up with 5.3 fantasy points -- 14-of-33 (42.4%), 160 yards, 0 TDs, 3 INTs; 7 carries, 59 yards. That was in Week 14 against the Houston Texans.
• Mahomes accumulated 10.5 fantasy points -- 15-of-34 (44.1%), 250 yards, 0 TDs, 1 INT -- in his second-worst game of the year. That was in Week 9 against the Buffalo Bills.

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Broncos Defensive Performance

• Last year, Denver allowed only two quarterbacks to rack up over 300 passing yards in a game.
• The Broncos gave up at least one passing TD to 12 opposing QBs last season.
• In the passing game, Denver allowed four players to throw at least two touchdowns in a game last year.
• Versus the Broncos last year, just two players threw for at least three touchdowns in a game.
• Denver allowed just three players rack up more than 100 receiving yards in a game last season.
• In terms of pass D, the Broncos allowed a touchdown reception to 18 players last season.
• Through the air, Denver did not allow an opposing player to catch more than one touchdown pass against it last year.
• Looking at run D, the Broncos yielded more than 100 rushing yards to just one player last season.
• On the ground, Denver allowed 10 players to score at least one rushing touchdown against them last season.
• In the ground game, the Broncos allowed only one player to score at least two rushing touchdowns against them last year.

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