NFL Prop Bets: 3 Best NFL Player Props for Week 7

Best Week 7 NFL Prop Bets in Summary

• Tetairoa McMillan Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
• Malik Willis Over 30.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
• Tucker Kraft Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The NFL season brings us no shortage of NFL player props to target on FanDuel Sportsbook. From passing and rushing totals to receptions, receiving yards and anytime touchdowns, there are plenty of ways to bet the NFL beyond the traditional game lines.

Using our NFL projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props we like for this week. We’ll break down the matchup, recent production and expected usage for each player to help identify the best bets on the board.

All NFL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

NFL Player Prop Bets This Week (Week 7)

Tetairoa McMillan Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Buccaneers at Panthers — 1:00 p.m. ET

Tetairoa McMillan has quickly established himself as the clear focal point of the Carolina Panthers’ passing attack, and his underlying usage supports another productive outing against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

McMillan owns a 26.4% target share this season while averaging 2.34 yards per route run across 201 routes. He's turned 48 targets into 32 receptions and 471 yards, good for 94.2 receiving yards per game.

He's cleared 69.5 yards in four of five games this season, posting 75, 101, 17, 192 and 86 receiving yards. His role has remained extremely stable, and he has drawn at least eight targets in four of those five outings.

The matchup also offers volume potential. Tampa Bay has faced 37.8 opponent pass attempts per game, one of the higher marks in the league, while Carolina has leaned toward the pass at a 62.4% context-neutral rate.

With McMillan accounting for more than a quarter of the Panthers' targets and generating strong efficiency on those opportunities, 70 receiving yards is a reachable number.

Malik Willis Over 30.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Dolphins at Jets — 1:00 p.m. ET

Malik Willis' rushing ability remains one of the most reliable elements of the Miami Dolphins’ offense, making his rushing-yard prop appealing against the New York Jets.

Willis has rushed 27 times for 186 yards through five games, averaging 6.9 yards per carry. More importantly for this prop, he's already topped 30.5 rushing yards three times, recording 39 yards in Week 1, 56 in Week 3 and 74 in Week 5.

His rushing usage isn't purely dependent on designed quarterback runs, either. Willis is averaging 3.4 scrambles per game along with 1.8 designed runs, giving him multiple paths to accumulate yards when passing plays break down. He ranks among the more active rushing quarterbacks in the league in both carry share and scrambles per game.

That mobility is especially important given his struggles as a passer this season. Willis has completed just 56.2% of his passes, so Miami has every incentive to continue leaning on his legs when opportunities arise.

Tucker Kraft Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Packers at Lions — 4:25 p.m. ET

Tucker Kraft hasn't produced monster receiving numbers every week, but his matchup with the Detroit Lions is difficult to ignore.

Kraft has drawn a 16.7% target share this season and owns a 21% target-per-route rate. His 1.41 yards per route run isn't an elite figure, but his underlying involvement has improved recently, with at least five receptions in three straight games and seven-plus targets in three of his past four.

Detroit has been by far the NFL's most favorable matchup for tight ends. Opposing tight ends have amassed 545 receiving yards and nine touchdowns in only five games against the Lions, equating to 109.0 receiving yards per game. No other defense has surrendered more receiving yards or touchdowns to the position.

That weakness also meshes well with the Green Bay Packers‘ pass-heavy style. The Packers have thrown at one of the league's higher rates, and this game carries one of Week 7's biggest totals (52.5).

What are the best NFL touchdown picks for this week?

NFL Prop Betting FAQ

What are NFL player props?

NFL player props are bets on individual player performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common examples include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, receptions, touchdowns and completions.

How do you choose the best NFL player props?

The best NFL player props are typically identified by comparing a player's expected workload and statistical production with the sportsbook's posted line. Matchup, injuries, game script and recent usage can all play a role in finding value.

Where can I bet on NFL player props?

You can bet on NFL player props at FanDuel Sportsbook, where a wide variety of markets are available for each game.

What are the most common NFL player props?

Some of the most popular NFL player props include passing yards, passing touchdowns, rushing yards, receiving yards, receptions and anytime touchdown scorer bets.

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Which bets stand out to you this week? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NFL odds to see the full menu of options. You can also check out our How to Bet on the NFL guide.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.