Padres vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 30

Odds updated as of 9:11 p.m.

On Friday in MLB, the San Diego Padres are playing the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Padres vs Pirates Game Info

• San Diego Padres (31-23) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (21-36)
• Date: Friday, May 30, 2025
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and SportsNet PT

Padres vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-180) | PIT: (+152)
• Spread: SD: -1.5 (+118) | PIT: +1.5 (-142)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)

Padres vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Nick Pivetta (Padres) - 5-2, 2.72 ERA vs Mitch Keller (Pirates) - 1-6, 3.66 ERA

The Padres will give the ball to Nick Pivetta (5-2, 2.72 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 6 on the season, and the Pirates will turn to Mitch Keller (1-6, 3.66 ERA). Pivetta's team is 7-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts. When Pivetta starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-2. The Pirates have a 4-7-0 ATS record in Keller's 11 starts that had a set spread. The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Keller's starts this season, and they went 2-6 in those matchups.

Padres vs Pirates Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (59.1%)

Padres vs Pirates Moneyline

• San Diego is a -180 favorite on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is a +152 underdog on the road.

Padres vs Pirates Spread

• The Padres are hosting the Pirates and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Padres are +118 to cover the runline, with the Pirates being -142.

Padres vs Pirates Over/Under

• A combined run total of 7.5 has been set for Padres-Pirates on May 30, with the over at -104 and the under at -118.

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Padres vs Pirates Betting Trends

• The Padres have won in 18, or 62.1%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season San Diego has come away with a win six times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -180 on the moneyline.
• The Padres and their opponents have hit the over in 23 of their 53 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Padres are 28-25-0 against the spread in their 53 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline 39 total times this season. They've gone 15-24 in those games.
• Pittsburgh has a 5-8 record (winning only 38.5% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +152 or longer.
• The Pirates have played in 55 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-30-3).
• The Pirates have gone 24-31-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Player Leaders

• Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .273 with seven doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 21 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .341 while slugging .502.
• Among qualified batters in the majors, he ranks 51st in batting average, 60th in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging.
• Manny Machado leads the Padres with an OPS of .865. He has a slash line of .313/.382/.483 this season.
• He ranks 10th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage and 37th in slugging in the majors.
• Machado has picked up a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .275 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and five RBIs.
• Luis Arraez is batting .290 with a .415 slugging percentage and 19 RBI this year.
• Arraez enters this game with two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a walk and three RBIs.
• Gavin Sheets leads San Diego with 47 hits, batting .275 this season with 18 extra-base hits.

Pirates Player Leaders

• Oneil Cruz has racked up 40 hits, a team-high for the Pirates. He's batting .230 and slugging .489 with an on-base percentage of .352.
• Including all qualifying players in the big leagues, he is 129th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage and 34th in slugging percentage.
• Bryan Reynolds' .366 slugging percentage leads his team. He has a batting average of .222 with an on-base percentage of .290.
• He is currently 142nd in batting average, 138th in on-base percentage and 127th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .297 with eight doubles, a triple, a home run and nine walks.
• Andrew McCutchen's .361 OBP paces his team.

Padres vs Pirates Head to Head

• 5/4/2025: 4-0 SD (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 5/2/2025: 9-4 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 8/14/2024: 8-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 8/13/2024: 3-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -250, Underdog Moneyline: +205)
• 8/12/2024: 2-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +168)
• 8/8/2024: 7-6 SD (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 8/7/2024: 9-8 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 8/6/2024: 6-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 7/26/2023: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -188, Underdog Moneyline: +158)
• 7/25/2023: 5-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -290, Underdog Moneyline: +235)

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