Pacers vs. Thunder NBA Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for June 11

Pacers vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse -- Indianapolis, Indiana
• Coverage: ABC

The Indiana Pacers are 5-point underdogs for Game 3 of the NBA Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is knotted up 1-1. The matchup has an over/under of 228 points.

Pacers vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Pacers vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (59.1%)

Pacers vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread in a game 54 times this season (54-26-2).
• In the Pacers' 82 games this year, they have 37 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 44 times this season.
• Pacers games this season have hit the over on 44 of 82 set point totals (53.7%).
• Oklahoma City has a better record against the spread when playing at home (29-12-1) than it does in road games (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have gone over the over/under more often when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). In road games, they have hit the over in 19 of 40 games (47.5%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Indiana has a better winning percentage at home (.463, 19-21-1 record) than away (.439, 18-22-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Pacers games have finished over 53.7% of the time this season, both at home (22 of 41) and away (22 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists, shooting 51.9% from the floor and 37.5% from downtown, with 2.1 made treys per game.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 36.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.8 made 3-pointers.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11.2 points, 3.8 assists and 10.7 boards.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made treys.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Pacers Leaders

• Per game, Tyrese Haliburton provides the Pacers 18.6 points, 3.5 boards and 9.2 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• The Pacers are receiving 20.2 points, 6.9 boards and 3.4 assists per game from Pascal Siakam.
• Per game, Myles Turner gets the Pacers 15.6 points, 6.5 boards and 1.5 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 2 blocks (second in league).
• The Pacers are receiving 16.1 points, 5.3 boards and 1.9 assists per game from Bennedict Mathurin.
• Per game, T.J. McConnell gives the Pacers 9.1 points, 2.4 boards and 4.4 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, and Chandler Parsons Monday-Thursday at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/podcasts.