Pacers vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 10

Pacers vs. Heat Game Info
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse -- Indianapolis, Indiana
- Coverage: FDSSUN and FDSIN
The Indiana Pacers (7-31) are underdogs (by 6.5 points) to stop a seven-game home losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (20-17) on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The matchup's over/under is set at 235.5.
Pacers vs. Heat Odds & Spread
All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | -6.5 | 235.5 | -270 | +220 |
Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Pick
All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (61.4%)
Pacers vs. Heat Betting Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread 21 times this season (21-15-1).
- Against the spread, the Pacers are 19-19-0 this season.
- Games involving the Heat have hit the over 18 times out of 38 chances this season.
- Pacers games this season have gone over the total in 15 of 38 opportunities (39.5%).
- Miami has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 11 times in 19 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered 10 times in 18 opportunities in road games.
- At home, the Heat go over the over/under 47.4% of the time (nine of 19 games). They hit the over more often on the road, going over the total in 50% of games (nine of 18).
- Against the spread, Indiana has been better at home (11-9-0) than on the road (8-10-0).
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Pacers' games have finished above the over/under at home (45%, nine of 20) compared to away (33.3%, six of 18).
Heat Leaders
- Norman Powell averages 24.3 points, 3.8 boards and 2.7 assists.
- Kel'el Ware's numbers on the season are 12.3 points, 10.6 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 54.8% from the field and 43% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made 3-pointers.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 16.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.9 points, 2.6 assists and 9.6 boards.
- Andrew Wiggins is averaging 15.9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.9 assists.
Pacers Leaders
- Pascal Siakam's numbers on the season are 23.9 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. He is also sinking 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 37.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.7 triples.
- The Pacers get 17.2 points per game from Andrew Nembhard, plus 2.4 rebounds and 7 assists.
- Jay Huff averages 8.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists. He is making 44.1% of his shots from the floor and 31.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 triples per contest.
- Per game, Jarace Walker gets the Pacers 8.8 points, 4.2 boards and 1.8 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.
- T.J. McConnell's numbers on the season are 10.2 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game. He is sinking 54.5% of his shots from the floor.
For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.
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