Pacers vs. Cavaliers Eastern Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 11

Pacers vs. Cavaliers Game Info
- Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse -- Indianapolis, Indiana
- Coverage: TNT, truTV, and MAX
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5.5-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Pacers lead the series 2-1. The matchup has an over/under of 231 points.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds & Spread
All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | -5.5 | 231 | -230 | +190 |
Pacers vs. Cavaliers Prediction & Pick
All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cavaliers win (55%)
Pacers vs. Cavaliers Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers have put together a record of 47-33-2 against the spread this season.
- In the Pacers' 82 games this year, they have 37 wins against the spread.
- This season, 50 of the Cavaliers' games have gone over the point total.
- Pacers games this year have hit the over 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).
- At home, Cleveland has a worse record against the spread (23-17-1) compared to its ATS record in away games (24-16-1).
- In home games, the Cavaliers go over the total 61% of the time (25 of 41 games). They hit the over in the same percentage of games on the road (25 of 41 contests).
- Indiana has performed better against the spread at home (19-21-1) than away (18-22-1) this season.
- Pacers games have finished above the over/under 53.7% of the time both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41) this season.
Cavaliers Leaders
- Donovan Mitchell's numbers on the season are 24 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5 assists per game, shooting 44.3% from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc, with an average of 3.3 made 3-pointers (eighth in league).
- Evan Mobley's numbers on the season are 18.5 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists per contest, shooting 55.7% from the floor and 37% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made 3-pointers.
- Darius Garland averages 20.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 6.7 assists, shooting 47.2% from the field and 40.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 made treys per game.
- Jarrett Allen is averaging 13.5 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists.
- De'Andre Hunter is averaging 17 points, 4 boards and 1.4 assists.
Pacers Leaders
- Tyrese Haliburton averages 18.6 points, 3.5 boards and 9.2 assists. He is also draining 47.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.8% from beyond the arc, with 3 triples per contest.
- Pascal Siakam's numbers on the season are 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game. He is sinking 51.9% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.6 triples.
- Per game, Myles Turner gets the Pacers 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 2 blocks (second in NBA).
- The Pacers get 16.1 points per game from Bennedict Mathurin, plus 5.3 boards and 1.9 assists.
- T.J. McConnell averages 9.1 points, 2.4 boards and 4.4 assists. He is draining 51.9% of his shots from the field.
Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!
Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, and Chandler Parsons Monday-Thursday at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/podcasts.