Nuggets vs. Thunder Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 9

Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: ESPN

The Denver Nuggets are 6-point underdogs heading into Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Ball Arena on Friday, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN. The series is knotted up 1-1. The matchup's point total is set at 232.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• The Nuggets are 38-43-1 against the spread this year.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 44 times this season.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 49 of 82 set point totals (59.8%).
• Oklahoma City sports a better record against the spread when playing at home (29-12-1) than it does in away games (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have gone over the total in a higher percentage of games at home (59.5%) than road games (47.5%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Denver has a lower winning percentage at home (.439, 18-23-0 record) than on the road (.488, 20-20-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Nuggets games have finished over more often at home (26 of 41, 63.4%) than on the road (23 of 41, 56.1%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in league) and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 rebounds.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists for the Nuggets.
• The Nuggets are getting 21.4 points, 3.9 boards and 6 assists per game from Jamal Murray.
• Per game, Michael Porter Jr. provides the Nuggets 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Christian Braun averages 15.4 points, 5.2 boards and 2.6 assists. He is sinking 58% of his shots from the floor (eighth in NBA) and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per game.
• Per game, Russell Westbrook provides the Nuggets 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists, plus 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocks.

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