Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 1

Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder (38-11) are favored by 5 points when they visit the Denver Nuggets (33-16) in a showdown of the top-ranked teams in the Western at Ball Arena on Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The point total is set at 228.5 for the matchup.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (51.6%)

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 23 times this season (23-26-0).
• The Nuggets are 29-20-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, Thunder games have hit the over 26 times.
• The Nuggets have eclipsed the over/under 61.2% of the time this year (30 of 49 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has a worse record against the spread at home (12-14-0) than it does on the road (11-12-0).
• Looking at over/unders, the Thunder hit the over less consistently in home games, as they've eclipsed the total 13 times in 26 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over 13 times in 23 opportunities (56.5%).
• Against the spread, Denver has had better results away (17-9-0) than at home (12-11-0).
• Nuggets games have gone above the over/under less often at home (14 times out of 23) than on the road (16 of 26) this season.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 2 blocked shots (third in NBA).
• Cason Wallace averages 7.4 points, 3 boards and 2 assists.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.2 boards and 2.9 assists, shooting 64% from the floor.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 8.7 points, 1.2 assists and 3.9 rebounds.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 29.7 points for the Nuggets, plus 12.2 boards and 10.8 assists.
• The Nuggets receive 25.8 points per game from Jamal Murray, plus 4.3 boards and 7.4 assists.
• Peyton Watson averages 14.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He is making 49.9% of his shots from the field and 41.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.
• The Nuggets get 14.1 points per game from Tim Hardaway Jr., plus 2.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists.
• Bruce Brown averages 7.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists. He is sinking 46.6% of his shots from the field.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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