Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 1

Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Denver Nuggets (33-16) are 7.5-point underdogs when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-11) in a showdown of the top-ranked teams in the Western at Ball Arena on Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The matchup's over/under is set at 224.5.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (51.9%)

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 23 times this season (23-26-0).
• The Nuggets have played 49 games, with 29 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 26 times this season.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 30 of 49 set point totals (61.2%).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has fared worse at home, covering 12 times in 26 home games, and 11 times in 23 road games.
• The Thunder have exceeded the over/under less consistently at home, hitting the over in 13 of 26 home matchups (50%). On the road, they have hit the over in 13 of 23 games (56.5%).
• Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .522 (12-11-0). On the road, it is .654 (17-9-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Nuggets' games have finished above the over/under at home (60.9%, 14 of 23) compared to on the road (61.5%, 16 of 26).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32 points, 6.2 assists and 4.4 rebounds.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 17.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 57.1% from the field and 37.7% from downtown, with an average of 1.3 made treys.
• Cason Wallace averages 7.4 points, 3 boards and 2 assists.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11.2 points, 10.2 boards and 2.9 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Luguentz Dort averages 8.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists, shooting 39.5% from the field and 35% from downtown, with 1.9 made treys per game.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic's numbers on the season are 29.7 points, 12.2 rebounds and 10.8 assists per contest. He is also draining 60.8% of his shots from the field (seventh in league) and 43.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.1 triples.
• Per game, Jamal Murray gives the Nuggets 25.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.3 blocks.
• Peyton Watson's numbers on the season are 14.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He is draining 49.9% of his shots from the floor and 41.6% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.5 triples.
• The Nuggets get 14.1 points per game from Tim Hardaway Jr., plus 2.5 boards and 1.4 assists.
• The Nuggets get 7.4 points per game from Bruce Brown, plus 4.1 boards and 2.2 assists.

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