Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 1

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Game Info

• Date: Monday, December 1, 2025
• Time: 9 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: KFAA, ALT, and KTVD

The Denver Nuggets (14-5) host the Dallas Mavericks (6-15) after losing three straight home games. The Nuggets are double-digit favorites by 10.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, December 1, 2025. The matchup has an over/under of 233.5 points.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nuggets win (74%)

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Nuggets have covered the spread 12 times in 19 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks are 9-12-0 this season.
• Nuggets games have gone over the total 12 times out of 21 chances this season.
• The Mavericks have hit the over 38.1% of the time this year (eight of 21 games with a set point total).
• Denver has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered five times in nine games at home, and it has covered seven times in 10 games when playing on the road.
• The Nuggets have exceeded the total more often at home, hitting the over in six of nine home matchups (66.7%). In away games, they have hit the over in six of 10 games (60%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Dallas has a lower winning percentage at home (.385, 5-8-0 record) than away (.500, 4-4-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Mavericks games have gone over more often at home (five of 13, 38.5%) than on the road (three of eight, 37.5%).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic's numbers on the season are 28.9 points, 12.4 rebounds and 10.9 assists per contest, shooting 63.7% from the field (eighth in league) and 45.3% from downtown (ninth in league), with an average of 2.1 made treys.
• Jamal Murray is averaging 24 points, 6.6 assists and 4.5 boards.
• Peyton Watson is averaging 10.1 points, 4.8 boards and 1.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 1 block.
• Cameron Johnson is averaging 11.2 points, 2.2 assists and 3.4 rebounds.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 11.9 points, 1.3 assists and 1.9 rebounds.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg's numbers on the season are 16.7 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. He is also draining 46.2% of his shots from the field and 25.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 1 trey.
• Per game, P.J. Washington gives the Mavericks 16 points, 7.8 boards and 2.3 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.2 blocks.
• Naji Marshall's numbers on the season are 12.1 points, 5.2 boards and 2.3 assists per game. He is sinking 47.9% of his shots from the field and 30.8% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1 triples.
• The Mavericks receive 12.3 points per game from Max Christie, plus 3.4 rebounds and 2.1 assists.
• Per game, Brandon Williams gives the Mavericks 11.1 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists, plus 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.

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